Denison Mines Corp (DML.TO)

Beyond a 2017 spike, it's been range-bound. Wouldn't buy it. Sell.

Uranium developer. Companies don’t make money at these prices for Uranium. They should go up, but demand is weak. It is not the best environment to invest in a junior at this time.

If you're patient, this is worth owning. Quality CEO and has strong financial backing in association with Lundin Mining. But you must endure a lot of volatility.

His play in uranium is GBP (?), which has done very well. They do training for nuclear reactors as well as other areas, and it still has a lot of upside. The view on uranium is so mixed.

In January, uranium spot price was getting close and looked like it might hit $30. Since then, it collapsed to about $20, and the stock is down by about 45%. If you believe in uranium, this is a good entry point. He still thinks there is a lot of uranium stockpile out there.

They have not made much money since 2003. Don’t buy unless you are a really big uranium bull.

There are only two ways to play uranium: DML-T and UU-T. Uranium just needs to tip up and then away they will go. CCO-T has real operating numbers, but they are really bad.

There is a fair amount of seasonality to metals. Lower priced stocks are not traded by the bigger players, and therefore you have less crowd behaviour involved. Penny stocks can be whippy, because they are traded by less traders with less money. The chart shows a long downtrend that was broken, and the stock has found some support at around $.50, and is bouncing off of that right now. There is a little bit of technical resistance at around $.70. If he were to trade this, he would be waiting for a break out through $.70, and would wait for a bare, bare minimum of one week before he bought it, to make sure it is not a head fake.

This company will survive. He was very early in the uranium trade last year, and has now backed out of it. With slow worldwide demand for finished products, and hence slow demand for electricity, the Japanese restarts are going to be delayed for a couple of years, and hence the restart of the uranium space is going to be delayed. He will return to uranium maybe late next year.

Unfortunately uranium is just anaemic right now. There is no catalyst to move forward until there is some sort of clarity in terms of future nuclear energy growth. This isn’t a bad company, and he would put it in the top 5 of Canadian names. The stock is not doing very well. Also, you are going into tax loss season. Unless the price moves in uranium, it is just not going to do anything. Probably dead money. If you really, really like the space, Cameco (CCO-T) is the way to go.

The key to this is what is happening with uranium prices themselves. Uranium prices are in a distinct downward trend. On a positive side, it does seem to be finally, after a long period of time, trying to form a base pattern.

Overall, commodities are in a secular decline. Thinks uranium has a little better fundamental than some of the other commodities, so you could see some modest upside. This is driven by nuclear power plant growth, and outside of China, there is not a tremendous amount of nuclear power growth. This is an okay holding. They have a good swatch of properties in the Athabascan region, so it might be a takeover candidate.