Walt Disney Co. (DIS)

Disney reports next week. It ranks 4 out of 4 in streamers in terms of making, but still feels that CEO Iger is doing a good job in taking out capacity.

ESPN is now stable, their movies are on fire, their cruises are coming, but theme park attendance is hurting them. Also, he wishes they would clarify how much they owe Comcast for Hulu. Shares are up lately, but not enough.

Being diversified helped it withstand all the pressure. Never hitting on all cylinders. Plans for future involve increasing investment in parks, and he'd prefer less cashflow intensive. Turnaround not playing out as he anticipated. An incredibly discretionary expense. 

He sold on strength. Not ready to look at it again. You need to have a long time horizon, and be willing to accept that the business will be more cyclical in future.

Trades at only 18x PE after coming down a lot. He'd buy it today. Shares have come down because of hurricanes hitting their Florida theme park. DIS is doing better than people realize.

Streaming has been less exciting than people hoped. Wandering around in no man's land. Technically, not a great reason to buy unless you're a bottom fisher, and that's a dangerous game. Let things improve before putting $$ to work.

He's counting on profits to be a lot higher than expected next year.

Great company in the sense of quality content. However, large production budgets have really weighed on companies ability to earn profits. Time well tell whether company is ability to earn strong profits. "Parks" division is one aspect of the company is very strong. 

Currently in a tough spot right now. Strong competition from Netflix etc. Direct to consumer segment suffering. Cash flow is down. Content expensive to create. Would not recommend investing at this time. Better options for investors out there. 

His concern is that NFLX is the new TV. None of his kids have TV. Movie theatres, too, may become a thing of the past. His advice is to switch to NFLX.

Really likes, almost made it to today's Top Pick. This quarter saw weakness in parks, but strength in media and streaming. Lots of hidden value, and management's taking steps to realize. Market's so quick to judge, but Iger has improved free cashflow and capital allocation.

The parks business didn't live up to expectations with the lower income consumer in the U.S. not visiting as much as in the past. However the streaming business turned profitable in the last quarter. The CEO is shifting to quality over quantity in the streaming business. Hopefully there will be fewer hurdles going forward.         Buy 33  Hold 10  Sell 1

Underperforming for quite some time. In his RSI ranking for the US, it's been in the red zone (bottom 50%) in major indexes like the S&P 100. Peaked above $110, then failed. Positive earnings surprise today, still it hasn't come back yet, and that's important. $88 now, technically you want to see it get above $100 again.

It reported today. Shares jumped, then fell like the markets, but he liked their quarter. Their movie drought is over with current summer hits, while ESPN's ad revenues rose 17%, but Disney+ surprised with its profits (instead of disappointing in the past) one quarter ahead of predictions. DIS fell today because the US consumer needs a rate cut--consumers won't pay this much for the Disney theme parks. Park income fell a shocking 6%. Trades at a cheap 17x PE. He expects the parks problem can be solved; they can cut park prices. 

"New" CEO will make a huge difference. Still reeling from continued uncertainty at parks. Studio tent's starting to show signs of turning around. Long-awaited inflection in direct to consumer, profitability expected soon. NBA rights deal, seems imminent, could be a catalyst. Yield is 0.9%.

Buy the great franchises when they're down. Technical signs show it's skipping along the bottom. Reasonable at 17x, cheaper than the market. 17% EPS growth. If you buy here, it won't hurt you.

Going through a rough patch. The parks have become more expensive. Challenges in streaming, playing significant catchup to NFLX. He'd pass. Though valuation is as cheap as it's been in a decade, it's for good reason. EBITDA pressures are building in a lot of different ways.

There is an opportunity for it to turn things around in streaming. But when you're playing the #2 to NFLX, which has already achieved a huge subscriber base and is now pushing price and content, DIS has to disproportionately win in the content creation game. DIS doesn't actually own ESPN right; it has to bid on them. For example, the NBA recently went with AMZN.