DH CorporationDH.TOWAITNov 28, 2016Stock price when the opinion was issued
He bought more when it fell because it was massively discounted. Also, management gave very poor guidance about what was happening to a lot of their businesses. Feels their core businesses really has good opportunities on the FinTech side, in the US specifically, and the stock can slowly go up. Pays a decent yield.
He bought more when it fell after earnings came out last quarter. Hopefully this quarter they get some of the business from the RFPs they put out previously. Over the next couple of quarters you will see some changes in the company. The dividend is reasonable and he was glad they cut it. There is opportunity for the stock to go up from here.
In December, he upgraded this to a sector outperform again. Private equity was approaching them to possibly pick apart part of the business. A very cheap FinTech play. He can understand why the stock cratered. Their US lending business will pick up, and he doesn’t think the Canadian business is declining as fast as we saw last quarter.
The stock plummeted recently. Whenever he sees a stock fall 40%, he asks if it is a company specific problem, management incompetence or something that is more widespread. Their peer group are having similar problems, so he doesn’t think it is a company specific issue, it is basically industrywide. Also, banks and financial institutions are moving away from discretionary spending, and only spending on what they have to, which is risk and compliance. There are examples of banks now adopting more subscription base software services, where they have lower payments or an extended period of time, rather than larger upfront payments. That is going to hurt the sector. On the FinTech companies, a lot of banks are going with smaller upstarts, and not with the bigger guys. Given the secular trends that are occurring right now, he would probably wait.