Opinions
John Kim
Cominar Real Estate Inv Tr
CUF.UN-T
TOP PICK
Aug 09, 2019
$12.370
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BUY
Quebec's biggest REIT and once a darling REIT. But they had a lot of dilutive raises which increased leverage and bloated their portfolio. Also, the dividend is too high and will likely get cut. Last year, activists forced the company to change at the board level and cut the dividend (and needs yet another cut). The payout ratio is now much better and they've hired a new CFO who should do a fine job. Now, they are considering what to do with Gare Central in Quebec City, and this may benefit shareholders. A good time to buy.
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DON'T BUY
A play on Quebec. Announced a strategic review, so potential for some sort of activity. She prefers to own a pure industrial. Summit, for example, has Montreal exposure. Retail is going to face significant challenges to creating a path to growth. Third distribution cut since 2017. Better opportunities elsewhere.
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The valuation is low, and it's a turnaround play. It was a sleep company that needed a management shake-up. The new managers are pruning their real estate portfolio, discarding the underperformers. Their same-property growth is the highest in a decade. These initiatives are now bearing fruit. For a long time, their property growth was flat or negative. (Analysts’ price target is $13.19)