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TSE:CPG

Crescent Point Energy Corp (CPG.TO)

11.72
-0.04 (0.34%)
as of May 14, 2024, 8:00:00 pm Market Open.
1026 watching
0
TOP PICK

Expecting 100% upside at current share price. Transitioned from SE Saskatchewan to Montney play in BC (decades of inventory). Largest active shareholder in company. Trading under 3x cash flow given $80 oil price. New frac technique allowing for large increase of production from oil wells. Expecting ~$21 share price.
 

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Curated by Michael O'Reilly since 2020.
1550+ opinions with 4.81 rating (one of the best performing expert).

TOP PICK
Stockchase Research Editor: Michael O'Reilly

With quarterly reported cash reserves growing, while debt is retired and stock bought back, we again reiterate CPG as a TOP PICK.  The company recently announced it is selling its N. Dakota assets for $675 million and plans to spend over $1 billion in capital projects next year.  We continue to recommend a stop at $9.50, looking to achieve $14 -- upside potential over 24%.  Yield 3.2%

(Analysts’ price target is $14.25)
BUY ON WEAKNESS

Darling within energy sector. Expecting strong performance over the long term. Highly correlated to energy prices. Would prefer CNQ shares as is very liquid. Good company, with strong management team. 

WAIT

Looks really good for the small- to mid-cap energy space in Canada. At 2.4x, cheaper than peers at 3.4x. Decent dividend, some solid execution. Cashflow rising. Production growth profile of 7%. Investable. But do you want to buy now with a crowded trade and oil prices higher than they'll be in future?

TOP PICK

Successfully transitioned into long reserve life company (Duvernay & Montney).
Largest oil wells in Canada.
Returning 60% of free cash flow yield to investors.
~15 years of high quality inventory.
Expecting 100% upside at current share price.
Dividend yield ~3% and will also issue special dividends.

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Curated by Michael O'Reilly since 2020.
1550+ opinions with 4.81 rating (one of the best performing expert).

PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Jul 11/23, Up 16%)Stockchase Research Editor: Michael O'Reilly

Our PAST TOP PICK with CPG is progressing well.  To remain disciplined, we now recommend trailing up the stop (from $8.00) to $9.50 at this time.  

COMMENT

It has done well this year. In general energy stocks are good to buy when the economy turns negative and energy prices drop. Don't buy these stocks at peak energy prices.

BUY

Had traded this many times. History suggests the chart will break out for a while. Keep in mind that it could pullback to the $10 neckline, but that's still positive. The chart looks constructive.

BUY

Focusing portfolio more on deeper oil/gas Alberta plays. Cheap. Buying back stock, increasing dividends. Around 3-4x cashflow. Yield is 3.3%.

TOP PICK

Overhang was always inventory depth, but they've been acquiring. Now they have 15+ years of Tier-1 quality inventory. At 25%, second-highest free cashflow yield of companies he follows. Yield is 3.69%.

(Analysts’ price target is $13.90)
BUY

Solid execution last quarter. Cashflows beat by 4%. Lower valuation of 3.0x than peers at 3.9x. More indebted balance sheet, but it doesn't matter with oil prices where they are. Pretty nice production and EPS growth. Energy is under owned, and oil price is being manipulated higher, so this one can do well.

HOLD

Quality company. Right-sized the ship, doing the right things. His view on natural gas and oil is positive. Transition to renewables will take longer than expected. Nat gas is volatile, but companies are focused on debt repayment rather than drilling at all costs, so they can weather those storms.

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Curated by Michael O'Reilly since 2020.
1550+ opinions with 4.81 rating (one of the best performing expert).

TOP PICK
Stockchase Research Editor: Michael O'Reilly

We reiterate CPG, with producing assets in Western Canada and the Bakken, as a TOP PICK.  The company has pledged 50% of excess cash flow to be returned to shareholders.  It has been able to do this while aggressively retiring debt and buying back shares and it currently trades at under book value.  We continue to recommend a stop-loss at $8, looking to achieve $13 -- upside potential of 33%.  Yield 3.5%  

(Analysts’ price target is $13.69)
TOP PICK

Very inexpensive on a fundamental basis. 
Paying down debt, re-structuring assets.
Returning cash to shareholders.
Trading at 3x operating cash flow @ current strip price.
Believes oil prices heading higher.
Financial markets weighing on price of oil - but will pass. 
Cheap valuation + dividends will slowly provide value over the years.

BUY

Have good shareholder returns around 11% and cheap compared to peers, 4.4x vs. 3.3x and boasts production growth at 16%, with some cah flow. They're paying you to wait with their dividend. Longer term this is a go-to Canadian oil name.

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