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TSE:CPG
This will do well even if WTI oil is at $70. Don't need $80 or $90. Boasts 3-4x operating cash flow and a 15% free cash flow yield. The sector is cheap. Oil prices can go grow higher. CPG stopped growing for the sake of growing, but in recent years has been paying down debt and buying back shares. Did a major acquisition and consolidating their most productive assets.
(Analysts’ price target is $13.57)He's buying. Hard to resist a stock that's trading at 3-3.5x operating cashflow when they're starting to pay down debt, return cash to shareholders, and unwind mistakes of the past decade. Risk is oil prices collapsing, but he's not really worried about that despite a slowdown, as there are still lots of supply issues.
CPG is not our favourite, but is certainly cheap and offers a good dividend and growth potential. The balance sheet is in much stronger shape than prior cycles, and it is one of the few in the sector expected to grow this year (with acquisitions offsetting lower pricing). Special dividends (small) will likely continue. We think it would be fine to own.
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