Stockchase Opinions

Leslie Lundquist Capital Power L.P. CPA.UN-T COMMENT Jul 25, 2007

Power generator with assets both in Canada and the US. Many of the assets are fired by natural gas, whose prices have gone up faster than power contracts. In the short term, there is very little risk, but longer term you have to wonder about the currency exposure.
$27.060

Stock price when the opinion was issued

electrical utilities
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COMMENT
Have about 20 power facilities in Canada and the US. Recently cut its distribution with their payout ratio at about 75%-80%. Their parent recently spun off another entity Capital Power, which has a lower payout ratio but greater growth prospects. It also owns 30% of this company. The 2 may merge in 2011.
BUY
Created Capital Power (CPX-T), which becomes the parent as well as having the management contract. Cut distributions just before the Capital Power IPO and thinks the new distribution will be sustainable over a 5-year period.
HOLD
Current level of distribution should be safe.
BUY ON WEAKNESS
Not much capital appreciation. Would look for a pullback to $15. (See Top Picks.)
PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Jan 5/09. Up 2.6%.) It looks okay. Has a nice chart. Had a Stop on it and pretty much broke even. Nice dividend.
TOP PICK
5.95% 2036Doesn’t mind the very long term. Potential for capital appreciation.
COMMENT
Primarily coal generated power plants. Stock just dropped and he doesn’t know why.
HOLD
Payout ratio went from 67 to 112 and down from $20 to $18.93 in about a week. Is it a Sell? When the payout goes beyond what they can afford, you know something is going to happen. Chart trend line looks like it is holding at about$19, the level back in September/October. Likes the utilities sector.
HOLD

Benefiting from strong Alberta 
Good dividend yield.
Current share price not cheap.
Wait for share price to fall.

WATCH

Recent downtrend appears to have bottomed. Recent breakout good time to buy. Could approach resistance, but time will tell. Would recommend watching.