Stockchase Opinions

Michele RobitailleCapital Power L.P.CPA.UN.TOBUYMay 22, 2009

Looking very cheap right now. There is some concern about the distribution but she is comfortable they will be able to maintain the 21% yield. Edmonton Power has announced another spin out of another entity, which raised the question of what was going to happen to this one.
$12.60

Stock price when the opinion was issued

electrical utilities
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WATCH

Recent downtrend appears to have bottomed. Recent breakout good time to buy. Could approach resistance, but time will tell. Would recommend watching. 

HOLD

Benefiting from strong Alberta 
Good dividend yield.
Current share price not cheap.
Wait for share price to fall.

HOLD
Payout ratio went from 67 to 112 and down from $20 to $18.93 in about a week. Is it a Sell? When the payout goes beyond what they can afford, you know something is going to happen. Chart trend line looks like it is holding at about$19, the level back in September/October. Likes the utilities sector.
COMMENT
Primarily coal generated power plants. Stock just dropped and he doesn’t know why.
TOP PICK
5.95% 2036Doesn’t mind the very long term. Potential for capital appreciation.
PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Jan 5/09. Up 2.6%.) It looks okay. Has a nice chart. Had a Stop on it and pretty much broke even. Nice dividend.
BUY ON WEAKNESS
Not much capital appreciation. Would look for a pullback to $15. (See Top Picks.)
HOLD
Current level of distribution should be safe.
BUY
Created Capital Power (CPX-T), which becomes the parent as well as having the management contract. Cut distributions just before the Capital Power IPO and thinks the new distribution will be sustainable over a 5-year period.
COMMENT
Have about 20 power facilities in Canada and the US. Recently cut its distribution with their payout ratio at about 75%-80%. Their parent recently spun off another entity Capital Power, which has a lower payout ratio but greater growth prospects. It also owns 30% of this company. The 2 may merge in 2011.
WATCH
Limited partnership. Have utilities. Best asset base in terms of power plants and utilities. Massive overhang because they are carving out some of their best assets to Capital Power. It's a whole mishmash of assets. He would wait to see what happens to Capital Power.
DON'T BUY
Fairly valued but cannot maintain their current distribution.
HOLD
Operates about 20 power projects in Canada and the US. Earnings were a little disappointing this last quarter. Distributing over 100%, which could potentially become an issue. Does have a fair amount of tax pools.
PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Dec 4/07. Down 18%.) Infrastructure type of play. More defensive. Good market cap and good liquidity. Very good operators. Stable distribution in a tough economic market.