Stock price when the opinion was issued
It has light and heavy oil as well as natural gas and LNG so it can switch around to what's going well and follow the increase in price of the particular commodity. It is the most diversified in Canada so is the one to buy. One of the cheaper at 12X earnings. It is a solid long term performer and has raised its dividend each year for 25 years. On oil in general OPEC has been putting more barrels on the market.
Highest beta to oil price, as it's the least vertically integrated of the seniors. Top-notch management. Very strong FCF. Solid balance sheet. Great yield. Chart's flat over last year, much due to lack of differentiating catalysts (unlike SU or CVE). Low oil price has impacted ability to hit internal debt targets or increase share buybacks.
Steadily climbing to first resistance around the key level of $45, which is a "reversal of polarity" (support becomes resistance, resistance becomes support). Good news is that it's broken out of downtrend. Much stronger technically. Watch: does it break out above $45? If yes, starts to look really good.
It has become an interesting stock because they are making a very well timed purchase of shells oil sands assets to become the biggest oil company in Canada. It probably makes it attractive. But in the near term he sees oil going down so there is no reason to put new money into oil stocks.