Opinions
Michele Robitaille
Canetic Resources Trust
CNE.UN-T
DON'T BUY
Aug 23, 2007
A bit of a “show me” story. 2nd quarter numbers have come in quite strongly. Their capital program is quite significant this year with acquisitions and getting their production on track. Prefers others.
$14.890
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DON'T BUY
Some concerns about their longer term sustainability. In a bit of a “show me” mode. Made a number of acquisitions leading up to the point where the government changed the rules last year and are going through a bit of an integration mode. Questions if they have deep enough technical focus and drilling inventory. Have a strong US ownership base, so could consider changing to the US.
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HOLD
Being acquired by Penn West (PWT.UN-T). Good acquisition as it gives critical mass of 2000 barrels a day production, capacity to absorb other income trusts and/or oil/gas exploration companies. Also gives them leverage to expand not only outside of Alberta, but into the US. Would wait for the merger to take position before buying Penn West.
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HOLD
Being acquired by Penn West Energy (PWT.UN-T). He will take shares rather than cash. Looking out 3 to 4 years, he likes oil and gas. Merged company will have 2 advantages. 1) Tax pools will probably defer any taxes to be paid out on until 2013/2014 and 2) It may be converted back to a corporation and will be a major challenge to other large caps.
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