Stock price when the opinion was issued
Looking at a 5-year chart, getting close to its 5-year high. Nice breakout above $10. If you take the height of the consolidation pattern (resistance was $10 - support of $7 = $3), and add it up again, you get ~$13, at least to start. That's what we're looking for over the shorter term. Then maybe it consolidates and may continue higher over the longer term.
A top pick last November, because it's one of the leaders in industrial chemicals in North America. There's a lot going on behind the scenes here. He didn't see the downturn in this sector as well as intense competition. Likely, shares won't recover until the economy picks up, but an opportunity now.
Everybody loves the dividend here. Made a really bad acquisition 10 years ago, company was punished. Off that bottom, it's been pretty impressive. Q1 beat by 15%, raised guidance. Really good progress on capital allocation -- dividend raises, small tuck-ins, buybacks. Trades ~4.7 EBIT to EBITDA vs. its normal 6.3 mid-cycle valuation. Add on dips.
It has had some issues but is a much cleaner operating company now, although it's not getting credit for it from the market. It is a specialty chemical company with some good assets. Pays a 6 1/2% dividend and is doing an active share buyback of 5%. There is also growth since it is investing heavily in the water business, treating waste water and municipal water, which also provides stability. It is so cheap you can get a good return. Buy 5 Hold 2 Sell 0
(Analysts’ price target is $14.50)
CHE.UN is up 30% YTD, yet remains cheap at 12X earnings. It is a cyclical company with a lot of debt, with a fairyl weak earnings history. But it has improved over the past year, and debt is lower than the very high levels seen in 2019 and 2020. It had to cut its dividend in half in 2020 and has only raised it slightly since. It is expected to show about 7% EPS growth next year. It offers a 5.92% yield currently. We will give it points for its improvement, but with slow growth and a leveraged balance sheet, in addition to its cyclicality, it is still not one of our favourites. Of note, the stock remains at 50% of the price it was more than 10 years ago.
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