Duncan Stewart
CanWest Global Comm.
CGS-X
DON'T BUY
Nov 18, 2008
Just renegotiated covenants with their lenders, which is good except the lenders cut back on the amount they can borrow. Newspaper industry in North America is in a violent retraction. This sector will continue to be an anchor around their feet regardless of how well their television assets do.
At this stage it is basically trading like an option on its survivability. Terrible balance sheet with about $4 billion of debt. Management has not been great.
Media space is a very tough one right now. Newspapers are suffering from declining advertising lines and readership. In the TV space a pay-TV provider went out of business today and local stations are closing down. High debt. Sell as a tax loss.
Massive spike on volume recently. Don't act on just a couple of days of action; you want a few days. If it continues to rise that would indicate momentum is starting to move in its favour. RSI index spiked into overbought territory. Would like to see a few more days of action.