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TSE:BPY.UN

Brookfield Property Partners (BPY.UN.TO)

23.29
-0.15 (0.64%)
as of Jul 26, 2021, 8:00:00 pm Market Open.
371 watching
0
COMMENT
There is tremendous capacity in office space in major cities right now. Not sure when this will be fully priced in. Real estate is still a good investment in the long term. It is a great hedge to inflation. Short term there are challenges, especially for office space.
HOLD
He is pleased to see it is up today. There is a lot of concern around office real estate and the long term outlook. He thinks it is best to own the parent company.
BUY
It's the only REIT he owns. It hold offices and malls. He bought more when this crashed earlier this year, because he expects people to return to work. He himself does and surveys indicate this. People want to return to offices and malls. They continue to payout and support their dividend.
COMMENT

You could own it if you want direct property exposure. She owns BAM instead, which owns 50-60% of BPY, as she likes the whole stable. Dividend should be safe. Going through a difficult time with retail. Will take a while to work through, but they'll do it. Commercial and retail properties are Class A, well located. Experienced management.

PARTIAL SELL

40% of their holdings are malls, which he avoids. Another 40% are in trophy office buildings globally. Both sectors are challenged with limited rent collection rates. The remaining 15% of their business is in opportunistic investing, of which they've done a great job here. Brookfield owns BPY, so the parent company can buy stock if BPY gets into trouble (when the share price falls). RBA just downgraded BPY, which he agrees with. More downside than upside here. Take profits. You can re-enter if Brookfield steps in later.

DON'T BUY
Buy the pullback? It's probably fine, but he's squeasy about office space occupancy in downtown Toronto. He'd rather avoid stocks that are tied to downtown office real estate and play it safe. BPY are good operators with a strong balance sheet, though.
HOLD
Tough place to be. They operate counter-cyclically. They'll use the pressure on the real estate side to make those counter-cyclical investments. That timing is hard to predict. Ultimately, if you hold 3-5 years, you'll be fine.
DON'T BUY

Controlled by BAM, a great management team. BPY is a diversified REIT, mixing trophy office buildings, class-A regional, and opportunistic investments. Mall side suffers from unstable cash flow; rent collections are 20-40% and nowhere near where they should be. As we enter a second wave, this will be challenged in the retail side. On the office side, there are many question marks; BPY is exposed to Toronto, New York and London. The future value may not be as big as investors expect. He avoids this.

DON'T BUY
Big dilemma is they have a lot of malls. Some are great, but some aren't and need restructuring. He thinks they'll let the malls with big mortgages go into default. Wouldn't count on the 12% dividend. Paying the price of having too much debt.
HOLD

Billy Kawasaki’s Insights - Picks from 5i Research. There are concerns over the impact of coronavirus on retail locations. They just completed a large share buyback and the company is committed to the distribution. They have a good track record and the company is looking long term to opportunity in retail when the virus has passed. Unlock Premium - Try 5i Free

PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Sep 03/19, Down 36%) 18 months ago, BPY bought US mall assets, but this sector (and high-end retail) has been badly hit in the last 6 months. However, the parent Brookfield carries record levels of liquidity, which can carry this stock. He sold his shares. If the shares don't recover, Brookfield may even take BPY private, he speculates. BPY is trading at a deep discount to NAV which will be under pressure because of the economic environment. BPY has been under pressure for the past six months.
HOLD
There is a lot of negativity around real estate in general. However, he would stick with this. They will be doing a massive buy-back. There are people who are inpatient from whom the company is looking to buy back shares from. Their office assets are top quality.
SELL
It's in the eye of the storm: in commercial and residential properties. They are excellent managers who buy very smartly with fine anchor tenants in marquee location. But Brookfield is wrong this time with commercial and residential being a really tough place to be. Sell it. This was a great before COVID, but not now.
COMMENT

BAM has other deals in the works too, aside from this tender offer. Tendering your shares is safer, but if your time horizon is long enough and you can take a bit of risk, you can hang onto your shares. Obviously, BAM thinks there's some value there.

HOLD
It will be rocky because this holds malls, but their malls and office spaces are excellent, quality buildings. BPY holds half offices, half retail. Companies will still have an office presence and won't disappear. However, rent collection in retail has plunged to 34% in the last quarter, but this will improve with the recovery. BPY's strategy is to buy malls and re-purpose them (i.e. adding condos and gyms) and make them multi-purpose. BPY will weather this storm. Hold on.
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