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TSE:BPY.UN

Brookfield Property Partners (BPY.UN.TO)

23.29
-0.15 (0.64%)
as of Jul 26, 2021, 8:00:00 pm Market Open.
371 watching
0
BUY

She doesn't own direct retail, but BPY holds the best-in-class assets run by the smartest managers. It's also trading at a ridiculous discount. It yields over a 11% dividend yield. BAM'A is the majority owner and is buying back a big chunk of shares in the next three months. BPY has strongly underperformed since Brookfield took this public five years ago. Problems: holds core office assets and leverage is high, which is how Brookfield runs real estate. Also, its LP structure is a barrier to many large U.S. funds. She likes BPY.UN. If the stock price doesn't perform, the Brookfield parent will buy it entirely. Cutting the dividend won't help the stock, and the dividend is safe. It's a great company to hold this and you get paid 11-12% to wait.

COMMENT
The unloved Brookfield stock. The others have done pretty well. Now, office and mall properties are considered distressed assets. That said, it has strong support from parent BAM to raise cash and assets, if needed. He wouldn't sell it now. There is value in their holdings and the stock will likely come back. But cash flow is taking a big hit; if that makes you uncomfortable perhaps you could sell it.
WEAK BUY
The dividend is nearly 12% and the market fears a cut, but he thinks it's safe. Globally, office properties are pressured, but he doesn't expect people to work from home forever. BPY carries a lot of debt, but are supported by a strong parent company that has been buying back shares. Hold, if you own this. You can even buy at these levels.
BUY

BPY.UN-T vs. BAM.A-T. BPY.UN-T has some of the worst exposure if you are worried about a slow economic recovery and how we will react if there is a second wave. The stock has been cut in half. He loves BAM.A-T and he thinks they are one of the smartest investors on the street. You could make the case that BPY.UN-T is undervalued. If you are looking for short term moves, then this might be one of them.

SELL ON STRENGTH
An excellent management team. They are retail and office. The genie may be out of the bottle on this one. Companies will likely look to reduce their office footprint going forward. It has an extended payout ratio and extended balance sheet. He would be more of a seller on strength on this one.
COMMENT

BAM.A-T is a backstop for BPY.UN-T. None knows how safe the dividends are because no one knows what our COVID recovery looks like. He is concerned that when we get out of this, he thinks many people will work at home so he believes the demand projections from before the pandemic will not be the case afterwards. He prefers the infrastructure space with Brookfield.

DON'T BUY
The question is how long it will take to get back to pre-pandemic highs. Growth in office space may have really slowed due to the pandemic. He would prefer infrastructure at this point.
COMMENT

BPY.UN into BIP.UN? They do not own either Brookfield holdings. He has a favourable view on all the Brookfield entities and prefers to hold BIP.UN over BPY.UN as the former holds a lot of retail space. There is a huge infrastructure shortage around the world, so BIP.UN is well positioned for this opportunity.

HOLD
Half their business is in office space and the rest is in mall space. No doubt they will survive. The value is there. You have to ask yourself if you want to own these businesses. He was not a bull on office coming in to this and the mall space is very challenged. You are holding it with the idea that the parent comes in one day and fixes this company. It has a high discount to asset value but there are a lot of risks.
COMMENT

It's global and diversified, well-sponsored with the parent company buying a lot of shares. Cant' say if the dividend is safe, but assumes Brookfield will maintain. BPY has a lot of debt but it's manageable, but office space is impacted by COVID as people may continue to work more from home, so businesses may rent less space. BPY should be  okay though.

HOLD
10% Dividend? He did own this before the crisis began. However they have a fair amount of debt that was contributing to a dividend payout ratio of about 125%. He likes their prime real estate assets, but feels they are likely going to cut dividends. He thinks shorts may be buying it back and it will remain vulnerable. He would hold it if you have it, but don't put new money into it.
BUY
It is part of the Brookfield Asset Management beast – the property arm. It has an 11.5% yield and so like most, it's share price has come under pressure. 55% of their revenue comes from multi-family and industrial space, rather than malls. 25% is office and the rest is retail like malls. Investors are expressing concern regarding retail rent deferrals, which is likely. Cash flow forecasts have come down 10% in the last 30 days by analysts. The parent provides strong backing. The dividend is likely safe.
SELL

85% of properties are trophy office buildings and class 'A' and 'B' malls, which are challenged. It trades at a very big discount to asset value. You are better off owning BAM.A-T.

BUY ON WEAKNESS
As the stock has not dropped 33% in the last year and have 100% upside, he is not interested as a Contrarian.
PARTIAL BUY
Owns it for the dividend. This is undervalued. If it fell to $18, he'd add more shares. Now is an entry point for now investors. Pays over a 7% dividend.
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