Stockchase Opinions

David Baskin Bank of Nova Scotia BNS-T DON'T BUY Nov 14, 2023

He used to be big fans of this, given their investment in Latin America to grow. But their execution hasn't been good, and they missed going into the US. They're now in a bad part of the market. He sold this 3-4 years ago.

$60.300

Stock price when the opinion was issued

banks
It's the ideal tool to help you make quicker, more informed decisions for managing and tracking your investments.

You might be interested:

WEAK BUY

He sold ~40-50% of his position at $79-80. Now that it's dropped below $70, considering buying it back. Appealing dividend yield. Not sure correction is over yet because of credit cycle. May try to buy cheaper, but it's a reasonable entry point if you have a very long horizon.

Savvy new CEO's doing quite a decent job. Managing balance sheet well, but he's unsure about 15% acquisition of KeyCorp in US.

Unspecified

The question was on dollar cost averaging for BNS. It is a bank in transition and has had a lot of trouble in recent years. Pays a good dividend of 6%. In general Canadian banks always come back and can be traded.

BUY

Likes it. Their exposure in Latin America offers exposure to copper and other minerals. Management is shifting focus from Latin America to outside that area. He sees success here, and the stock is priced well now. The yield is generous and safe. This could be a core holding.

WAIT

Like other Canadian banks it is undergoing re-positioning itself for a turn-around. It has dialed back its overseas business and is now focused on Canada, the U.S. and Mexico. The Canada and U.S space is pretty crowded. It has acquired a struggling regional bank in the U.S.

BUY
Trevor Rose’s Insights - Trevor’s most-liked answers from 5i Research

EPS of $1.52 missed estimates of $1.56; revenue of $9.08B was marginally better than estimates. Scotiabank's transition is advancing, driving overall adjusted operating leverage and international segment efficiency improvement, aided by progress toward C$800 million in cost savings this year and primacy expansion. The bank may reach 5-7% 2025 EPS growth. Trade risks still weigh on domestic and Latin America economies, reflected in a higher-performing provisions ratio. Slower activity in domestic banking might extend as clients face uncertainty. Canadian net interest margin eased. Wealth growth is exposed to market volatility, while Capital Market's M&A fees could ease, despite a healthy pipeline. The bank expects 2H impaired provisions at or over 2Q's 57 bps, above prior guidance and expected 2H moderation. Performing reserves in 2Q may help. Scotiabank is set to buy back 20 million shares. All-in, we would be comfortable here. The bank is managing a difficult and uncertain time fairly well so far. 
Unlock Premium - Try 5i Free 

DON'T BUY

Underperformed this year relative to peers. In transition, and that will take a while to sort things out. Slowly selling off international assets. Trying to increase presence in US, a bit late to the game. Path forward is somewhat uncertain. Highest yield, so you'll be fine if you have a long horizon.

She's actually a bit nervous on all the banks.

BUY

This is the one of the group that looks really interesting to him. Its US acquisition didn't look too good right off the bad, but could end up being pretty good. Has already taken the worst hits on Latin exposure. If you were to add one Canadian bank, this would be at the top of the list.

BUY

He owns it in the income growth fund for the longer term. It is the highest yielding of the big banks. It is a turn-around play with the new CEO and now has a stronger focus. There has been a strong recovery for all banks since the spring.

BUY

Using profits from TD to buy this one. Pretty confident in its turnaround potential. New CEO created doubt because he wasn't a banker, but he's great and doing a wonderful job. Highest yield at 6%, increased recently.

BUY
Question about Banco Santander

Prefers Canadian banks for their dividends. For instance, BNS is undervalued and pays a high dividend and trades at a low PE. There's room for the PE to expand. People buy foreign banks for the dividend, but you have to pay a withholding tax.