Brookfield CorpBN.TOBUYOct 30, 2026Stock price when the opinion was issued
As of Oct 30, 2026. Market Open.
It's been hit over private credit concerns. Is -17% this year. Look at the distributed earnings line which is growing in the low-teens, driving growth in shareholder equity at 15-16% per annum over the past decade. As the business grows, BN will distribute more earnings to shareholders. Now, it's on sale.
(Analysts’ price target is $74.84)He's owned this for 25 years and held on even after the BAM spin-off, because the fundamentals are incredible. As it grows, it gains economies and scale and a strong reputation. BN can easily raise fundraise. Has a fine track record. The stock is undervalued. They will collect all these performance fees in coming years. Wealth management is a great fee business, and BN is one of the top investors. The market doesn't care now that BN is investing is data centres. He continues to buy this.
Private credit has had it rough. Bread-and-butter is investing in real assets, which have some amount of inflation protection. Pretty good cashflow generator. Relies on relatively cheap cost of money to continue to build -- elevated long-term rates make that harder.
Well below 200-day MA. Pulling back to 200-week MA, may provide some good support. Broke lows it made in March. He's not looking at it, given weakness in the sector.
Cons. Complex structure. Very sensitive to interest rates. Private equity exposure. Expansion into insurance makes both balance sheet and execution risk a bit higher.
Pros. Last quarter, distributable earnings up 15%. Fee-related earnings up 20%. Fee-bearing capital reached $672B. Big war chest of $210B of deployable capital. Fingers in lots of pies as growth engines. Share buybacks. Trades 13% below actual NAV. Way cheaper than it ought to be at 9x PE, for a modelled 21% distributable EPS growth. Yield is 0.76%.
Parent is less focused on paying a dividend, while subsidiaries are more income-focused. Flexibility to allocate capital across its portfolio, which is an amazing way to add another layer of value for shareholders. Buy this one for growth. (If you also want income, makes sense to also buy one of the subsidiaries.) Yield is 0.75%.
(Analysts’ price target is $74.98)Currently has no position in any of the Brookfields, but he'd play it through the parent. Difficult to understand, though taking steps to simplify. Demonstrated ability to grow AUM, which is what drives long-term growth. In the very long term, if HQ moved to the US, index inclusion could provide a nice boost to the stock.
In the space, he'd look at BX instead.
Likes management and the group of businesses, just doesn't like the price. Very well capitalized, lots of liquidity. For a value manager, valuation is too demanding for expected earnings and growth. If he saw more of a correction, he'd probably take a look at having a position.
Parent company not very interest-rate sensitive, but subsidiaries BEP.UN and BIP.UN would be. Prefers BN, the parent, as a diversified way to de-risk the investment.
BAM is the fee business, and BN is the broader investment company. BAM is the cleaner, more predictable model, earning fees on over US$1 trillion of assets; those earnings were up 20% last quarter. BN is more complex, but has more businesses working for it-- asset management, insurance, real estate, infrastructure. EPS was up 15% last quarter. BN offers more upside. She likes both. Has owned both in the past. BN is active in AI infrastructure.