NYSE:BHP

BHP Billiton (BHP)

87.15
-0.20 (0.23%)
as of Sep 11, 2026, 8:00:00 pm Market Open.
128 watching
0
SELL

In basic materials, iron ore's had a hard time partly due to slowdown in China. And that's a big part of its business. Longer term, we're in early stages of a long-term bull market in commodity prices. Big cashflow generators will pay a lot of dividends along the way. Mixed economic data before an easing cycle impacts this company.

He prefers copper. Owns TECK.B, a bit frustrating, but he can see the runway.

WEAK BUY

Mining shares have been on a tear recently; copper and gold have performed exceedingly well. Outlook for mining materials is still probably OK. Especially if Trump is re-elected, there's the belief that there's going to be more growth going forward, and this is what typically drives the mining sector.

He doesn't have a lot of this type of exposure. He tends to gravitate away from any company whose earnings and revenue depend on a tradeable commodity; makes it very difficult to predict cashflow 5-10 years out. It doesn't mean that the shares can't be accretive, but the path to cashflow is less visible.

COMMENT

The caller wanted a comparison of the two companies, BHP and FCX. BHP is in a tight trading range with a lot of trading. He doesn't see much upside and there are others to buy. FCX has more copper, and copper is a good story It could be a good buying opportunity but sell if it goes below $44.

TOP PICK

Massive scale allows for very good asset acquisition. Attractive stock price right now. Very strong dividend. Commodity cycle presenting a good opportunity (trading at lows). Best time to buy is when nobody "likes" mining stocks. Sell this company once cycle turns around. 

BUY ON WEAKNESS

Focused on large deposits. Best company in sector. Global brand. Predictable moves in market. Will benefit from China stimulus. If US dollar falls, commodities will rise (good for business). Excellent commodity mix. Would recommend buying on weakness/selling on strength. 

Unspecified

It has been oscillating up and down with big swings. The sector is interesting and is good to look at if rates go higher. A deflationary theme will cause it to reprice.

WAIT

There is lots of trading going on around $50 to $60 and it is a lot less volatile. It is beginning to break out but wait to buy. Use the 50 day moving average.

PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Jul 20/22, Up 23%)

With commodities, trim at the top, buy more at the bottom.

DON'T BUY

Likes the materials space, an early-cycle winner. Stock's been sideways, moving between $50-70. FCX screens better. Though the FCX chart appears similar, some of the metrics look better.

BUY

An Australian copper and coal miner that is very tied to China. Pays a 9.6% dividend.

WAIT
Alcoa just reported a bad number tonight and BHP will be hurt by association. Wait till that blows over.
BUY
Poised to test recent highs and is pushing higher. If it can get above the resistance levels, it can break out to new highs.
WAIT
BHP vs. RIO Both really well run and focused. Trimming portfolios and becoming more efficient. Leans toward BHP, but RIO is good as well. Cautious on the space right now, potential for a recession, and we don't know how deep. Both would get hit in a recession. Steer clear right now, look for something more defensive.
BUY ON WEAKNESS
Yield about 12%, super attractive. Company sees demand falling, as developed markets go through weakness. Dividend will get cut. Don't buy for the dividend. China is a stabilizing force. Not expensive right now. Long term, outlook is super-positive, a winner. Nibble on weakness for a 3-year hold.
PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Sep 16/21, Up 18%) China's not really fully back online, plus issues around Europe. Will probably go higher. Low balance sheet. Potash in Saskatchewan will add growth. Commodity companies benefit from inflation. Extra cash could be used for acquisitions in existing segments.
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