
TSE:AVO
Good solid Canadian tech company in the camera and camera software business for industrial uses. Has done really well over the last 5 years. The guy who runs the company is a little unpredictable, and doesn’t like to listen to other people too much. This has caused a lot of upset in the stock, and a lot of institutional investors are uncomfortable investing in it. Not super cheap here. Kind of likes it longer-term for the business.
Bought some after the last earnings report, where they missed. Looks like sales are coming through, but they are putting costs in place, which they have to do to get their marketing up. It looks like they have growth going forward. The valuations in the sector can go high. Their products are top of the line and still growing. The lower Cdn$ is going to benefit them.
Chart shows a long upward trend line, which was violated last year. It also shows an A, B, C correction. There was a key pivot point at around the $25 level. He has never been a big fan of their business model. Currently below the 200 day moving average, this is not a good sign, and doesn’t see much upside.
A security monitoring company that is cutting edge, moving the security video world from analog base to an IP based solution, at a very high level and a very high resolution. It has a massive addressable market that it can play into, because the entire world is using analog cameras that are not very good. Growing at 30%-35% a year. Not cheap, trading in the low 20 multiples, but he really likes the story. This is a premium grower.
Sold his holdings this past quarter at $24.50. Margins are getting squeezed so they have to pay more for their growth. Revenue and earnings are fine it’s just that SG&A (Selling, General and Administrative Expenses) are creeping up. Bought a video analytics company so that they would have a video system. Another thing that disturbed him is that they bought the Vancouver building for $42 million, and he questions if there wasn’t a better use of money than that. However, at under $20 continue to hold, because given their pattern, it’ll show a really good quarter and the stock might rebound. It would have to be $17-$18 before he went back into this.
They are on a hiring spree. They have a lot of competition from China. They will have to continue to spend money to reach their goals, so there may be a better entry point down the road.