BroadcomAVGOBUYOct 14, 2020Stock price when the opinion was issued
As of Jun 08, 2026. Market Open.
AVGO is like the smaller cousin of NVDA. Built GOOG's AI program, increasingly making waves with Anthropic (owns Claude). Interesting, but not a shoot-the-lights-out opportunity. He'd buy.
MRVL is trying to take a share of the chips that go into GOOG, and is already involved with AMZN cloud. Be careful. It's not a given that it's a capable designer of cutting-edge chips. Coin flip. We've been fooled before.
NVDA is actually more interesting than both.
Macro fears of AI overspending, diminishing returns, circular financing, and bubble worries. Stock-specific fears of a highly competitive market, top 5 customers account for 40% of revenues, high debt levels from past acquisitions may impact future M&A.
Stunning rise since 2022. Unprecedented thirst for products. Acquisitions continue to be a growth driver. Big cashflow, very sustainable dividend. Seven analyst upgrades over last 30 days.
Trades at 23x PE 2027 earnings, growing at 34%.
All semis can get a big boost from a Biden win, because he will will likely relax US-China trade tensions which pressured markets during Trump's term. This and Nvidia are trying to do takeovers that require the permission of the Chinese government. Broadcom's CEO is very acquisitive, but ever since the trade war, China has made these deals very hard, while Washington treats AVGO as it it's too close to the Chinese government. So, without the trade war, AVGO can return to big deals.