
TSE:ATZ
This summary was created by AI, based on 8 opinions in the last 12 months.
Aritzia Inc. (ATZ) has emerged as a notable player in the retail sector, particularly with its expansion into the U.S. market, which has only seen half of its potential tapped so far. Analysts highlight impressive growth metrics, including a significant 41% increase in U.S. revenue and the recovery of margins and supply chains. Despite facing challenges in the consumer discretionary space and competition, Aritzia's vertical integration enhances control over design and pricing, offering a competitive edge. Experts recommend monitoring the stock for potential pullbacks after its substantial rise, pointing to the 'Coolness Factor' as critical for maintaining market interest. Overall, analysts view Aritzia as fundamentally strong with a positive growth outlook, albeit with caution towards short-term valuation concerns.
EPS of 22c beat estimates of 16.5c. Revenue of $498M beat estimates of $486.9M. EBITDA of $53.8M beat estimates by 19%. Sales rose 7.8% led by 13% growth in the US. 2Q revenue guidance was largely maintained. Inventory optimization continues. (inventory fell 18%). Margins increased nicely, to 44% from 38.9%. Comparable sales rose 2% vs 1.3% expected. Investors should be happy here, but the stock has already been very strong leading up to the quarter.
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WSJ came out this month with a very glowing article, particularly for working women in their 20s, highlighting an appreciation of quality. Volatility from being a pandemic beneficiary, and then inventory issues. Mostly getting through that.
Expanding square footage 20-25% this year, will drive increased sales and earnings.
Growth stock. In-house production of its own designs. You can only buy its various brands in Aritzia stores. Very diverse audience. Huge unit growth potential in US. Boosted e-commerce during pandemic. A bet on management and continued execution on design. Historically has done well, has confidence in it going forward.
It took a big tumble so he bought more in October and will hold at this level since it is trading at a fair valuation. It needs more traction before getting a premium valuation. However he has long term conviction in it and feels it should grow in the double digit range. Just over half of its revenue comes form the U.S. side and each new store has a 12 month payback.
Shares now are where they should be, given their earnings potential. It sold off hard last year, surprising given its track record. He added more last October and has shot up since. They generate 25% ROE or $1.75 in earnings (the street targets $1.81). Trades at a fair 22x PE given their growth rate.
Not an investment he'd make. Too much variability in underlying demand, fashion in general, consumer preferences, and market whims. The kind of stock that the market gives way too much credit when it does well, and then take too much away when it does badly.
If you own, you might buy some more to average your way out of it, because there probably will be a better day for it. But you better be really sure that they're managing the business correctly and it's not just a stock price phenomenon of the stock market wagging the dog. Reports today.
He tends to stick with absolute needs that compound steadily over time. His stocks aren't super exciting, but they don't get smoked down either.
He missed this. It's done very well. Wider economic June retail sales were negative YOY, so he would take some money off the table and not put new money into this space.