
TSE:ATZ
This summary was created by AI, based on 12 opinions in the last 12 months.
Aritzia Inc. (ATZ) has garnered interest due to its robust expansion potential, particularly in the U.S. market, where strong same-store sales and the execution of flagship locations have been noted as key growth drivers. While the company is recognized for its appeal to young professional women and its effective supply chain management, its current valuation, trading at high forward price-to-earnings multiples, has raised concerns among some analysts regarding overvaluation. Despite this, many see the brand as fundamentally strong, leveraging vertical integration to enhance pricing margins and design control. The reviews indicate a mix of optimism about long-term growth prospects tempered by caution over current pricing levels amidst a fluctuating consumer discretionary environment.
His models show that it has 10-15 years of growth to becoming a global, dominant brand. Penetrating the US, opening up in Europe. Feedback that it's not as cool as it was. His target price is close to $60, so you could still buy today.
The story is not same-store sales growth, it's number of stores in the future.
EPS of 22c beat estimates of 16.5c. Revenue of $498M beat estimates of $486.9M. EBITDA of $53.8M beat estimates by 19%. Sales rose 7.8% led by 13% growth in the US. 2Q revenue guidance was largely maintained. Inventory optimization continues. (inventory fell 18%). Margins increased nicely, to 44% from 38.9%. Comparable sales rose 2% vs 1.3% expected. Investors should be happy here, but the stock has already been very strong leading up to the quarter.
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WSJ came out this month with a very glowing article, particularly for working women in their 20s, highlighting an appreciation of quality. Volatility from being a pandemic beneficiary, and then inventory issues. Mostly getting through that.
Expanding square footage 20-25% this year, will drive increased sales and earnings.
Growth stock. In-house production of its own designs. You can only buy its various brands in Aritzia stores. Very diverse audience. Huge unit growth potential in US. Boosted e-commerce during pandemic. A bet on management and continued execution on design. Historically has done well, has confidence in it going forward.
It took a big tumble so he bought more in October and will hold at this level since it is trading at a fair valuation. It needs more traction before getting a premium valuation. However he has long term conviction in it and feels it should grow in the double digit range. Just over half of its revenue comes form the U.S. side and each new store has a 12 month payback.
It has turned around the excess inventory situation from last year. Its store square footage is expanding by 25%. Analysts have 32% per share growth pegged for next year