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TSE:ARX

Arc Resources Ltd (ARX.TO)

33.55
-0.26 (0.77%)
as of Aug 25, 2026, 8:00:01 pm Market Open.
937 watching
0
Investor Insights
star iconAug 25, 2026, 12:00 am

This summary was created by AI, based on 39 opinions in the last 12 months.

Arc Resources Ltd (ARX) is currently involved in a takeover by Shell, which has led to varied opinions among experts about whether to hold or sell the stock. Many analysts believe that, with the deal price already being met, there is little incentive to hold ARX shares unless investors are interested in receiving Shell shares, which may offer better tax efficiency. Some experts are confident that the deal will close successfully, while others see the stock simply oscillating until the merger is finalized. Furthermore, advisory opinions emphasize that potential buyers should consider larger Canadian energy stocks or ETFs for similar exposure. With some analysts highlighting ARX’s long-term potential in natural gas and its quality assets, the overall sentiment is a mix of caution and optimism about future growth.

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Consensus
Hold
valuation icon
Valuation
Fair Value
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BUY

Large portfolio of natural gas resources.
Owns shares personally.
Well run company with strong management team.
Upside with LNG contracts that are set to begin soon.
Not much downside with current natural gas prices.

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Curated by Michael O'Reilly since 2020.
1550+ opinions with 4.81 rating (one of the best performing expert).

PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick May 30/23, Up 11%)Stockchase Research Editor: Michael O'Reilly

Our PAST TOP PICK with ARX is progressing well.  We recommend trailing up the stop (from $15) to $17 at this time.  

PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick May 27/22, Down 2%)

Oil has not performed well this year, but ARC has done better. Efficient with a great asset base, but shares are choppy. Will try to grown their dividend 10% annually. A good name.

BUY

Current valuation very attractive.
Generating lots of cash even with low gas prices.
New project in NE BC will generate more revenues.
Good time to buy for long term holder.
Very profitable business with safe dividend yield.

BUY

High-quality company, good management, great balance sheet. Manageable debt levels, great assets. Price of natural gas has been pushed down over the winter, and we'll have to see what happens in the summer. His view on nat gas and oil is fairly constructive. Nat gas is cleaner, and will be used more in future. 

WAIT

Ultra-high-quality assets. Heavy on natural gas. On free cashflow, not as compelling as other names. He can do better with a Canadian, large-cap oily name. No buy thesis. Not a lot of downside, but not a lot of upside. Not time to buy the lows on natural gas just yet.

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Curated by Michael O'Reilly since 2020.
1550+ opinions with 4.81 rating (one of the best performing expert).

TOP PICK
Stockchase Research Editor: Michael O'Reilly

We reiterate Canada's third largest natural gas producer as a TOP PICK.  It will supply two LNG projects beginning 2025.  It has increased cash reserves, while aggressively retiring debt and buying back shares.  It trades at 7x earnings, 1.6x book and supports a 46% ROE.  The dividend is good and supported by a payout ratio under 15% of cash flow.  We recommend trailing up the stop (from $13) to $15, looking to achieve $22 -- upside over 25%.  Yield 3.1%  

(Analysts’ price target is $21.96)
PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Jul 13/22, Up 17%)

This is the time to buy gas names, and this is one of his top ideas. Good job getting egress. Have a ways to wait before it can ship offshore through LNG. Will probably be first to the trough with TOU for contracts with LNG Canada.

BUY

In nat gas names, TOU and ARX are the top 2.

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Curated by Michael O'Reilly since 2020.
1550+ opinions with 4.81 rating (one of the best performing expert).

TOP PICK
Stockchase Research Editor: Michael O'Reilly

We reiterate ARX as a TOP PICK.  The company recently reported all time record free funds cash flow from operations.  This allowed cash reserves to grow while debt was aggressively retired and shares bought back.  Its diversified portfolio of markets allows for premium pricing over 40% higher than AECO pricing in Alberta.  We recommend keeping the stop at $13, looking to achieve $23 -- upside potential over 40%.  Yield 3.1%  

(Analysts’ price target is $22.97)
BUY

Natural gas prices have been clobbered. Prices usually decline this time of year. Surplus of nat gas. Astute management. Potential deals for LNG. Nat gas prices may not hit prior robust levels, but any boost will benefit ARX.

BUY
natural gas outlook

Doesn't forecast commodities. Nat gas is sensitive to weather. There's only so much you can store which are currently full. There was a warm winter in Europe and here, so the expected drawdown didn't happen. She doesn't invest in this space, but ARC a long time ago. Arc is a good producer, well-run.

Unspecified

Natural gas prices have pulled back but you should think long term There is now more infrastructure to get natural gas to Europe, Asia and the U.S. He is looking at Tourmaline which is well priced.

BUY

Decent nat gas, with a light oil play since they bought Seven Generations, and production growth. Then you don't have to make the decisions about moving back and forth between oil and natural gas.

COMMENT

On his radar. One of the best in class natural gas producers, but he prefers another one. He's not super bullish nat gas right now, though perhaps there's a long-term opportunity if they build more infrastructure on the west coast.

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