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TSE:ARX
This summary was created by AI, based on 45 opinions in the last 12 months.
Arc Resources Ltd (ARX) is currently in a state of transition due to its acquisition by Shell, which could result in a stagnation period until the deal closes. While some analysts see the acquisition as a positive move due to Shell's need for assets, others express caution, suggesting limited upside and advocating for selling or reallocating into other energy equities. Many experts highlight the importance of tax implications with the deal's structure, which includes a stock and cash component from Shell. Additionally, there are concerns over Arc's Attachie project, which has faced development issues, impacting overall stock performance. Despite these challenges, the company is recognized for its quality assets and potential growth in natural gas, with several analysts recommending patience and suggesting the stock has solid long-term growth prospects.
The 3 names she owns in energy are Arc Resources (ARX-T), Bonavista (BNP-T) and Crescent Point Energy (CPG-T). If she had to pick one that was more natural gas, it would be this one. Great operators and provides a yield in the low 5%. Good growth profile and visibility on how they are going to grow their production.
(Top Pick Jun 25/12, Up 48.13%) Has been a core holding for years. Tremendously well run company with a discipline for hedging gas prices and paying a sustainable dividend. Exciting resource behind this company and an inventory to last years. He will be scaling out of it as it has risen and will now be buying it back on a dip. He trades it. 60% gas / 40% oil.
Only challenge he has with this is that it is perceived high-quality, and it is high-quality and you have to pay for that and he can’t stomach the multiple. Great asset base in the Montney both in dry and liquid gases. There are constant rumblings that they could be a takeout target. Already discounting a pretty high gas price. There are better opportunities in the natural gas market.
Expensive stock with Price to Cash Flow at almost 11 times, but feels it is expensive for a reason. Company has a lengthy track record of very good capital allocation. Have a tremendous amount of inventory. Runs a conservative balance sheet and a sustainable payout ratio. Should be a core holding for anybody in oil and gas. 4.6% yield.
Will trade off the natural gas contract, which will trade off weather but he is not interested in doing this. Natural gas is going to be a tough place to be for probably a lot of years until LNG exports are really a go. An off year for them with only 3% production growth. Excellent balance sheet. Diversifying out of dry gas into natural gas liquids. Believes they are hedged for 2013 so your dividend is safe. Would make it a core holding on pullbacks of natural gas.
Great company in the natural gas space. Very flexible asset base. Top quartile producer. Able to add reserves at a very low cost. Flush with cash through 2013. One concern he has about this company and natural gas is that he doesn’t know how much higher gas prices can go until there is LNG exported.
(A Top Pick June 25/12. Up 40.88%.) Has pared this back a little bit but if he sees some weakness he will be adding back. If you don’t own, wait for a better price entry, about $17.