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Ron Meisels Aliant AIT-T DON'T BUY Dec 01, 2004

Below its 200 day moving average.

Ron Meisels

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$26.760

Stock price when the opinion was issued

telephone utilities

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DON'T BUY

What is driving a lot of growth in this sector is wireless and there isn't exactly a good explosion of wireless by this company.

HOLD

Decent yield. Generating lots of cash.

WEAK BUY

Torn on this stock. If you want the pure income, would go with BCE (BCE-T) or if you want growth, go with Telus (T-T). Pays a decent yield around the 4% level.

PAST TOP PICK

People buy these stocks, not for organic growth, but for yield. As the 10 year Canada bond goes up, the dividend yields on small telecoms become less attractive.

DON'T BUY

Local and Long distance margins are deteriorating. He likes another company. (Couldn't make out).

HOLD

BCE will get 70% of AIT in a merger. Aliant will get around 27% share of the trust that will be named. Will get a 6.5 to 7.5 cash yeild.

BUY

They are in the process of converting a lot of their rural wireline assets into an income trust. Bill also be combining some assets with Bell Canada (BCE-T). Looking favourably on these moves. Not a lot of growth out of these areas, but stable cash flow and limited competition.

WEAK BUY

Keep in mind the success Bell Canada has had in bringing Bell Norbique (BNQ.UN-T) to the market. As a trust it will be a similar structure but won't have the growth component of the cellular phone. There will be some capital expenditure bumps along the road.

BUY

Becoming a trust and will hold all the rural lines that Bell (BCE-T) and Aliant currently own. Distribution will probably be around 7%. You'll end up with an 8/9% return.

WEAK BUY

Becoming a trust on July 10. A regional player. When the assets go into the trust, they will not have the high growth of the wireless business. Distributions should be very secure but with a modest capital appreciation.

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Ron Meisels Aliant AIT-T DON'T BUY Dec 01, 2004

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