Don Vialoux
American International Group
AIG-N
COMMENT
Jan 20, 2017
Basically a financial services company. Historically the US financial service sector starts to get positive on a seasonal basis in the 3rd week in January. It usually goes higher until around the end of April. Currently, the stock has already gone above a key resistance level. The trend is on the upside already. You have all the requirements for an interesting seasonal trade right through until around the beginning of May.
Had owned this until about a year ago, and then moved aside. Had some difficulties with management. Even against their peer group in the insurance space, this company is not operating that efficiently.
(A Top Pick Feb 6/17 Down 5%). He thinks insurance companies are having a tough go. They are not benefiting like other financial assets. He is disappointed with its performance.
The company is trading below book value. He does not see many companies who can combine P&C and Life business well. It has never really recovered from the financial crisis.
(Past Top Pick, June 13, 2017, Down 12%) He sold his earnings last November to cut his losses. The reason was that AIG took massive writedowns after their new CEO took over. He didn't want to be in this turnaround plan.
AIG-N vs. MET-N. AIG-N has been recapitalizing since the disaster of the financial crisis. MET-N did not suffer these issues. The life business is in pretty decent shape but he prefers Canadian lifecos.
AIG is famous for imploding during the Great Recession and remains a major player. Outside Canada, he avoids insurers. In Canada he likes Sun-Life and Manulife, because there's less competition. Elsewhere, it's more competitive, but earnings are more volatile.
Basically a financial services company. Historically the US financial service sector starts to get positive on a seasonal basis in the 3rd week in January. It usually goes higher until around the end of April. Currently, the stock has already gone above a key resistance level. The trend is on the upside already. You have all the requirements for an interesting seasonal trade right through until around the beginning of May.