American International GroupAIGTOP PICKAug 10, 2012Stock price when the opinion was issued
As of Jun 10, 2026. Market Open.
Has a new CEO, a long-time industry veteran. The company is still having a tough time coming out of the financial crisis. Its focus in recent years has been cost cutting, working down debt, buying back stock, but it really hasn’t had much profitable growth. The new CEO is focused on profitable growth. This stock is so cheap, trading at .8X BV, where most of them are trading at 1.4X BV. There is no reason it can’t get it to that level. It is going to take time and could get ugly and messy, but he is willing to commit 3-5 years. If it happens, it will be a $100+ stock. Dividend yield of 2%. (Analysts’ price target is $70.50.)
(A Top Pick March 21/17. Up 3%.) Basically trades in line with the S&P 500. One of the top insurance names on the planet. Trading slightly below BV, while it normally is about 2X BV. There is an activist in there shaking things up. A conservative way to play financial services and to hedge your portfolio against higher interest rates.
He is looking for market-leading companies that are in sectors out of favour, and either have very strong dividends or some sort of catalyst that will unlock value. Mr. Icahn has taken a position and he knows value, will perhaps break it apart with the sum of the parts being worth more than the whole. (Analysts’ price target is $70.)
Big insurance company with a lot of bad assets through the financial crisis. Government had to bail them out but today it is wildly different. They've cleaned up their balance sheets so their assets are in much better shape. Because they have been raising a lot of cash, their core insurance businesses have been very profitable and have been able to gradually buy back the government's stake. Trades at only half of BV.