Agnico-Eagle MinesAEM.TOCOMMENTJun 12, 2014Stock price when the opinion was issued
As of Jun 05, 2026. Market Open.
Parabolic increase in January, things got extended. He reduced then. Gold bull markets advance in stages, with corrections lasting ~3-5 months. We're now 3-4 months into that. He's been rebuilding. Next leg should be a strong leg higher.
Long-term investors should just buy and hold.
She doesn't like gold now. She bought this is in the $60-70s. Its mines are in low-risk areas, like Canada and the US. Gold used to be a safe haven, but this has recently reversed with gold now trading as a risk-on stock. The space got crowded and became speculative. Tread carefully. She is not adding her holding. AEM is the best gold stock,.
Revenues are 99% gold, 1% silver. Its 10 mines reduce single-mine concentration risk. Jurisdictions have negligible political risk. Management has well-deserved reputation of credibility.
Met production guidance in 9 of last 10 years. Beat street earnings estimates in 29 of last 30 quarters. Loves Finnish acquisition of last week. Great entry point. Yield is 0.92%.
(Note the shortish timeframe.) When a stock gets to 10% of a portfolio, they peel it back. Still first- or second-largest holding in portfolios. Only knock on it today is valuation, but that's the quality speaking. Quality is how you make $$ in the long run.
Still a great place to be.
For the last 18 months or so, he has been particularly bearish on gold. Gold is getting to a point where it has been pretty well sold-out. Certainly a lot of the stocks are extended to the downside. If we are in a longer-term downtrend for gold, which we probably are, it doesn’t mean you can’t have great trading rallies. Doesn’t believe it will be more than a couple of month’s rally, so look at the best performing stocks in the group. This one is certainly acting better, and has based out over the last year. Detour Gold (DGC-T) is one you could look at for a trade.