Opinions
Frank Mersch
Aurora Cannabis
ACB-T
SELL
Jun 15, 2018
$9.060
Stock price when the opinion was issued
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DON'T BUY
He feels all cannabis stocks are gambling stocks. A maturing debenture is expected to keep downward pressure on the share price. There is no assurance that any existing company will be a survivor -- it is simply too early. No one is making money in this space. Without being able to predict revenues and expenses, it is too risky. He would stay away from these.
BUY
They each have their own strengths. He would pick Canopy (WEED-T) because they are the 800 lb gorilla. Aurora has lots of news about balance sheet challenges but they have low costs that he thinks will still come down further.
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They have been acquiring a lot of businesses. They are managing a growth profile. Bu you should be concerned about the dilution. There are concerns that they will do underwritings and go lower. He is short. He is long others in the space. Cannabis is quite different in Canada than in the US. You can’t do the edibles. You are just a grower/distributor and trying to develop a brand without advertizing. It is going to b a different approach for a number of years. The future growth is in the edibles. See HMMJ-T. The bulk of the group is at risk. We have not seen anybody process in bulk because it is still illegal to produce.