Opinions
Larry Berman CFA, CMT, CTA
Aurora Cannabis
ACB-T
COMMENT
Apr 09, 2018
$7.400
Stock price when the opinion was issued
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DON'T BUY
He feels all cannabis stocks are gambling stocks. A maturing debenture is expected to keep downward pressure on the share price. There is no assurance that any existing company will be a survivor -- it is simply too early. No one is making money in this space. Without being able to predict revenues and expenses, it is too risky. He would stay away from these.
BUY
They each have their own strengths. He would pick Canopy (WEED-T) because they are the 800 lb gorilla. Aurora has lots of news about balance sheet challenges but they have low costs that he thinks will still come down further.
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WEED-T vs. ACB-T. He thinks the sector is extremely overvalued. In a 2019/20 recession, which he thinks is a possibility, companies with low quality earnings and an unclear future get hurt the most. These are two of the biggest players and to go with those. He can’t advise who will be the winner of these two.