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Air CanadaAC.TOCOMMENTFeb 13, 2017Stock price when the opinion was issued
As of Jun 16, 2026. Market Open.
Travel stocks and airlines are very economically sensitive. Oil prices are spiking but Air Canada is better positioned due to Canada's energy supply. He likes it because it is building out a very strong global network with very unique routes that other carriers don't have. Trades at a discount to its US counterparts so there is lots of upside if the economy allows it. The next catalyst is bringing in a great CEO. Has a strong bench with a management team that has been there for a long time. Navigating the 2030's and beyond is the next big question for Air Canada.
Its planes are fuller now and the balance sheet much better. The stock price had started to improve but war and higher oil prices are bringing the price back down. There is still upside since it is trading at a discount to its historical valuation and to its US counterparts. He feels a fairer price would be $25.
Airline stocks have been hit by energy prices as well as tariff effects. Definitely on her watchlist. Progress operationally since pandemic, execution has improved. Balance sheet healthier. Demand remains solid, especially internationally.
Cautious on capacity growth. Cyclical industry. Near-term costs moving higher. She's watching demand trends and price discipline.
#1 would probably be Telus. BCE is also in there. Names like AC, MFI, PRL, GSY, WFG, and TFII. All of these stocks are cheaper than they ought to be. All things being equal, those names should be higher in January than they are now.
He got rid of it due to the choppy chart. Airlines are labour-intensive, subject to strikes, have high fuel costs, sensitive to the economy.
Chart's showing it's neither here nor there. If it broke a bit below where it is now, as part of a longer-term downtrend, could easily see $10 range and you'd be best to sell and redeploy $$ elsewhere. Reasonable dividend.
He does not really take an interest in airlines. There may be an opportunity now for Air Canada with all the rhetoric around the strike. It's been around for some time. Settlement should not be a huge number for cost increases. It is looking to expand internationally. You could buy when the strike is settled and the price starts to rise.
They have their pilots and the tail end crew under contract for years to come, and it doesn’t look like there is going to be any fuel shocks. He keeps waiting for them to stumble, but they don’t. Management has done a fantastic job in turning the company around, and getting so much more efficient; the operations, fleet management, etc. On a valuation basis, it is only trading at about 5X earnings and 3X Enterprise Value to EBITDA. If it could show a little more consistency in earnings growth going forward, it could probably have a higher multiple attributed to it. Thinks there is still a lot of potential upside, but it is an airline stock and it is always going to be volatile.