
TSE:ABX
This summary was created by AI, based on 13 opinions in the last 12 months.
Experts have mixed views on Barrick Mining (ABX-T), primarily weighing the company's strategic moves and the broader gold market dynamics. Several analysts have expressed concerns regarding Barrick's management of shareholder capital and their lagging production growth compared to other gold producers, with a notable preference for Agnico Eagle Mines (AEM) due to its safer mining jurisdictions. However, some see Barrick as a quality investment with tier-one assets and a strong strategic position, particularly in light of rising gold prices that could bolster earnings. The potential spin-off of non-core assets is viewed as a positive move aimed at isolating less risky ventures. Overall, while the enthusiasm for gold remains strong, especially with ongoing geopolitical uncertainty, Barrick's performance and management choices have led to a cautious outlook from some analysts who suggest looking to other gold names for better returns.
The price of gold peaked a number of months ago. Gold stocks came down with it. Prices are starting to come back and equities are starting to respond as well. A lot of attention to gold has gone into Bitcoin and other digital currencies. It is coming back to gold. The gold-copper ratio is also improving for gold. Prefers Franco Nevada, but with the commodity cycle continuing, gold will participate more in general.
KL-T vs. ABX-T. He would prefer KL-T as it has been hit so hard. You are getting the cash and the good balance sheet.
Gold peaked in August, and has been slipping, especially the stocks. The reason is a move into copper and other recovery-based metals. That said, negative interest rates are a tailwind for gold, and you need to own 3-5% gold stocks in your portfolio. Barrick is not his first choice, prefers B2Gold or Agnico-Eagle, for example. Also, he prefers silver to gold. Bitcoin is a whole different story....
Don't have all your money in gold, but a percentage in gold or the precious metals (miners) does make sense. Doesn't know Barrick well. It's the biggest. Lowest risk way to express this trade in the market. He owns Kirkland Lake and Pan American Silver. He also owns PHYS.
Gold is not the best sector here. Had a great run. You get the grand prize by buying financials and industrials. Gold is probably still in a bull run, and you want to buy when there's doubt. Not a bad entry at these levels. Of the seniors, his favourite is Agnico Eagle, exceedingly well run with a great dividend.
He prefers Kirkland Lake and Agnico Eagle among the big producers, because they have better leverage and are streamlined. He always puts Barrick and Kinross in the same category. Kinross buys assets at low prices, but he'd rather buy the companies they buy than Kinross itself. The one positive with Barrick is Warren Buffet coming on board; big-value investors will buy Barrick and won't bother researching the mid-tiered players. That said, he expects a better-levered move from KL and AE. He has a $45 target on Barrick as a buy. Also, he's not investing in copper or base metals.