TOP PICK

It has a 6.2% yield and he doesn't usually put higher yielding stocks into the equity platforms. This one came from the income platform. It fell so fast because it was over-leveraged but has now sold some of its assets. It is building a base and appears to be breaking out so he has bought two of the three legs.                      Buy 0  Hold 5  Sell 0

(Analysts’ price target is $5.85)
TOP PICK

He called up a five year chart to look at the bigger picture pattern. He likes the cup formation with a trend down and then trending up but not aggressively. The lows and highs are getting higher. It is not overbought. There are enough fundamentals that the stock could do well.
Buy 27  Hold 25  Sell 2

(Analysts’ price target is $83.11)
TOP PICK

A lot of oil stocks are moving in kind of a range. This one broke out of the range and is not pulling back to the old neckline. He feels that based on a longer history of moving in an uptrend it is OK to start stepping in. He doesn't expect oil to do much until the winter.      Buy 17  Hold 0  Sell 0

(Analysts’ price target is $36.66)
BUY ON WEAKNESS

Never owned TD because it was expensive, but it could be interesting now. We know the US fine. They can't expand in the US, so what will US earnings growth be? Also, the credit cycle has another 6-18 months, so how much longer will banks have to hold reserves? He might buy in the low-70s and high-60s.

COMMENT

Likes it. If you believe oil/gas prices will be higher in 1-5 years, Veren is interesting. But this is a commodity company, so it is volatile. New managers are smart with balance sheets and debt, so they don't need a much higher oil price to make money, but how excited will markets get if oil prices stay at current levels?

BUY
SU vs. Cenovus

He owns and likes both. The difference is that SU has downstream operations with gas stations. Cenovus is integrated with long-life reserves in production plus many refineries (which has suffered major compression), so the upstream looks attractive. Both have great balance sheets and free cash flows and pay similar dividends. Another difference: it's unlikely Suncor can be bought whereas maybe Cenovus could. He gives the edge to Suncor.

BUY
SU vs. Cenovus

He owns and likes both. The difference is that SU has downstream operations with gas stations. Cenovus is integrated with long-life reserves in production plus many refineries (which has suffered major compression), so the upstream looks attractive. Both have great balance sheets and free cash flows and pay similar dividends. Another difference: it's unlikely Suncor can be bought whereas maybe Cenovus could. He gives the edge to Suncor.

BUY ON WEAKNESS

Likes it. Expects it to keep pulling back a little after a strong run this year. They report in early November and he expects a good report. It's a great dividend. Their extensive pipelines carry nat gas and oil. Wait for till $53-54 to enter, though you could buy it here and let it run. Warning: this stock will move with interest rates and long bonds.

BUY
Caller holds 15% bonds in his portfolio, but falling interest rates haven't been a boon for bonds. What to do?

First, make a distinction between individual bonds and bond funds, because the former have a fixed maturity date so regardless of rates, as that bond approaches maturity the price will go to par. In the latter, the fund or ETF those bonds within those products will mature and go out and buy other bonds. If you have good corporate bonds with a staggered maturity, keep them. 

BUY ON WEAKNESS

Likes it. Well-run company. Wait until tax-loss selling ends in December. Seasonality for energy runs December-May, unlike the price of gas suddenly recovers. Buy on weakness for the long-term.

HOLD

They report today. He likes it for owning many businesses. The bad rap now is whether their monopoly on internet search should be broken up, but remember their big cloud, YouTube and ad businesses. Plus Waymo and a great balance sheet. They now pay a dividend. Don't buy into the print--could be volatile--but definitely a long-term hold.

PARTIAL BUY

They have a huge operation in eastern Canada. They have a royalty structure, like a toll road on iron production. With a slowdown in China, how much demand will there be for metals? He's not sure. Be careful. LIF is volatile, but long-term this is good and pays a gooD dividend. You can buy a partial position and average in.

PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Nov 28/23, Down 13%)

Still owns it and still believes has great assets. It's down because of management turnover and bad capital allocations, but it's fixable and the business is not dead. He has faith in new management.

PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Nov 28/23, Up 10%)

Very well-run. Still likes it. Their Q2 report noted book value of $150 while shares are $100. At some point this gap will compressed. They heavily buy their own shares.

PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Nov 28/23, Up 65%)

Shares are near 2007 highs. Good balance sheet and managers. He likes the lifeco business, but he will start divesting MFC. MFC is no longer cheap.