Stock price when the opinion was issued
They had lots of debt and operational problems, so were in the penalty box. But this integrated has huge long-life reserves. Cash flow is up and pays over 4% dividend and boasts a 100% shareholder return. Excellent balance sheet. Energy is in seasonal strength now.
(Analysts’ price target is $62.29)He sold off a bunch of energy names, but retained this one. Concerns about global recession is hitting energy names. He's in the camp of too early to think about a recession, and tariffs will look very different 6-12 months from now. If we see there's no recession, things can turn around quickly.
200-day and 200-week MAs still moving higher, a good sign. Right at 200-week MA today, and that can be massive long-term support for most stocks. If you own, don't sell. If wanting to buy, this might be your chance to look at it. Yield is 5%.
He owns and likes both. The difference is that SU has downstream operations with gas stations. Cenovus is integrated with long-life reserves in production plus many refineries (which has suffered major compression), so the upstream looks attractive. Both have great balance sheets and free cash flows and pay similar dividends. Another difference: it's unlikely Suncor can be bought whereas maybe Cenovus could. He gives the edge to Suncor.