Intel (INTC-Q)

Lots of help from subsidies, media attention, and so on, but mis-executed on a number of things 5-10 years ago. Now playing catchup. Putting in lots of capex, but no clear direction on the outcome. Risk of value trap; down 54%, but could easily drop another 50%.

Lost its way. In tech, you want to own the leaders. Unprofitable, with no clear path to turn that around. A fixer-upper. He'd rather invest where to lose $$, something has to go wrong; not that to make $$ something needs to go right.

Vulnerable business with lots of competition. Ability of company to turn around in question. Would not recommend buying. 

They've missed out on their quality targets, and they have poor timing. They just changed their CEO. They spend a lot of money on R&D, but enjoy weak returns. There are better semi stocks out there. 

Doesn't see what's going to turn it around. Losing share in desktop. No presence in data centre plays. Foray into manufacturing to take advantage of the CHIPS Act gets $$ in the door, but not sure it's a profitable move.

A lot of write downs in the business in the last earnings report. Losing market share - chips not as good as competitors. Hard to tell whether business will be able to compete in the future. Not well positioned for A.I. demands. Might be able to find a niche in the sector - but had to tell. Would recommend watching. 

Not a great stock and he's been passing on it, However, it's come down enough. Neither a buy nor sell.

A business that's hard to turn around. Core competency was chips for PCs. NVDA is really good at chips for data centres and AI. INTC can't innovate and catch up to that. Behind, and going to stay behind. Now they're on turnaround strategy 2.0, selling the fab business and spinning off things. Sell. Won't turn around well.

Makes sense for QCOM to be interested, as it's a path to being more vertically integrated. Could create more synergies than other players. But you can't buy a stock hoping for a takeout; it may not occur.

Unsure on potential of a takeout or and M&A activity. Trend indicating lots of downward pressure. Would not recommend investing.  

He sold most, but still retains a small 1% position. Very cheap, other companies are interested. It all comes down to execution. If you didn't own it, you could pick it up here, and let it go around $25-26 for a trade.

From a value perspective it is priced like most of the businesses are worthless. The pieces of Intel are worth more than what it's trading at. He thinks the fabrication business is very valuable and that's why Qualcomm wants them. There is easy upside and it could go to $30. He bought the stock, not the options so it is more of an investment.         Buy 7  Hold 37  Sell 6

They have failed on every level in recent years: goals, timing, all. Can they do an 180? Possibly, but do you want to invest in this?

It is struggling right now. It is a turn around opportunity but this is hard to do for tech companies. Turn around opportunities are better in the resource sector. It created 2 divisions but it hasn't worked that well. It has wanted a chip to compete with Nvidia. There is talk about splitting up the company.

He sold it 4 years ago. Tragic to see a US icon fall like this. Doesn't blame the current CEO, but the previous one who fell behind in chip technology. Still saddled by debt.

They missed the boat in AI and date centre, down 3% last quarter during the AI boom. Terrible. Gross margins were also down because of huge capex spending.