Keith Richards Arc Resources Ltd ARX-T TOP PICK Jun 24, 2025

Is a long-term hold. It's focused on gas and natural gas, which boasts great fundamentals. Arc is the top nat gas developer in Canada and owns a lot of its infrastructure, so are vertically integrated. The 2.93% dividend and cash flow are growing. Buy below $25, if you can.

ARX has been showing nice momentum recently, and it trades at a decent valuation of 11X forward earnings. Its recent acquisition of Montney assets in Kakwa from Strathcona Resources is a significant strategic move, and it is expected to enhance ARX's production capacity and extend its inventory duration. To finance this acquisition, it plans to use a combination of a new $1.0B two-year term loan and existing credit facilities. After the acquisition, it is expected to have a net debt around $2.8B or more. We like the acquisition and for a long-term position, we would be comfortable buying here.
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Benefits from the rotation out of oil into nat gas, which is performing far better. They bought assets from Strathcona, which he sees as 6% accretive (other say 10%). ARX has decades of inventory and good management which have been buying back stock. 

He focuses on the top third of relative price performers in a group. The best companies tend to keep getting better. Good dividend plus dividend growth.

He's sort of like an inventory manager with the 20-30 stocks in client portfolios. His job is to own inventory that people care about today. He focuses on themes that he thinks are in the process of being revalued favourably, and perhaps in sectors that are less owned but showing something changing for the better. He's looking for the best company he can find, with no fundamental risks if it doesn't happen immediately, but where the multiple will start to expand if people look more closely at the group.

Leading Montney operator and low-price producer for natural gas. Great balance sheet, especially important because he thinks financing costs are going to keep rising. Great 3-year dividend growth of over 35%. Catalyst is the opening up of the LNG markets globally. Another positive change is the ramping up of Attachie over the next 4 years. Demand for power will fuel demand for nat gas. Rising price for nat gas + increased multiple could = significantly higher share price. Yield is 2.58%.

He'd skew toward this one. Best-run intermediate O&G company in Canada. On most fundamental metrics, WCP is cheaper. It depends on your own investing style. He's often willing to pay up for management that he considers superior. In a 5-10 year timeframe, you can't go wrong with either.

Near the bottom of a trading pattern. Uptrend. Hitting a bit of resistance, but touching the longer-term trendline. The lows are getting higher, nothing's breaking down. He just added another 2% to his position. Decent dividend yield of 2.82%.

Price of nat gas should improve because of demand. Lots more energy needed for data centres. CEO gets full credit for improving growth over the past 5 years; got rid of debt, ramped up production, initiated share buybacks. Led by a strong CEO, can continue to do well going forward.

One of the top beneficiaries of the LNG market. Just started shipping overseas, and this will grow over time. Improving ROC last couple of quarters. Valuation is 6.4x EV/EBITDA, not worrisome. If you believe in LNG, this is your go-to name.

3-year CAGR is 17%, 1-year is 21% including dividends. Yield is 2.7%, low payout ratio, dividend is growing.