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Mixed day to end a down monthMarkets sell on inflation, interest ratesTSX climbs, Wall Street fades on inflation
DON'T BUY
Valero Energy Corp

Bearish on refineries at large. More capacity coming on line globally, namely Nigeria and Mexico. Medium-term outlook is not phenomenal. 

integrated oils
DON'T BUY
Valero Energy Corp

Trades at a low PE, but is a value trap and is highly cyclical. Their EPS leapt from $9.16 in 20167 to -$3.50 in 2020 to $29.11 last year! Up, down and up big. Has had a a partial share buyback. Today, share are hitting 5-year highs. However, future 2025 EPS estimates are sliding to less than half of 2022's peaks, because of less demand for oil and gas. Also, the existential long-term obstacle are EV's. Consider the massive clean-energy incentives in Biden's 2022 IRA. It's possible earnings have already peaked--big warning.

integrated oils
COMMENT
Valero Energy Corp
Buy at $100?

First, oil is under a lot of pressure now. Valero at $100 would mean crude at $50. Look at the end of each quarter to buy--buy according to timing, nor price.

integrated oils
SELL
Valero Energy Corp

FMV is $375. The 10-year picture sees it peaking at 2x book, and it now has to break through that ceiling. Market has memory, so it will take a lot of pressure to bust out. Not his favourite. Prefers Canadian to US stocks.

integrated oils
SELL ON STRENGTH
Valero Energy Corp
At the core to reap the benefits of huge demand going forward. Stock has doubled since October 2020. The market is buying a lot of April 100 calls with the stock at $90. He intends to sell higher strikes against it as it rallies.
integrated oils
BUY
Valero Energy Corp
Inflation-protection trades: energy (and materials). Both cyclical sectors are positively correlated to inflation. She also likes Martin Marietta given its heavy business in residential and non-res construction and a tailwind from Dems and Republicans to fix bridges and ports during supply-chain issues. Financials: JPM she likes, though they had a disappointing recent earnings, they do have a multi-faceted business. For more cyclicals, consider EM, namely IEMG.
integrated oils
HOLD
Valero Energy Corp
They just reported this morning and they were strong. They benefit from increased crude demand from gasoline as public transportation is out of demand. They have one of the best refinery complexes. He has held it before. He thinks it is a well run company but is a bet on crude and gasoline.
integrated oils
PAST TOP PICK
Valero Energy Corp
(A Top Pick Jul 11/19, Down 29%) He thought he would cleverly avoid oil stocks and hold a refiner instead. It did not work out as the stock let go from its book value to half that. The stock is fine he thinks.
integrated oils
TOP PICK
Valero Energy Corp
It broke out in October when he bought it. It's stable for an oil stock. When energy takes off, so will VLO. (Analysts’ price target is $108.94)
integrated oils
DON'T BUY
Valero Energy Corp
The refiner space is sooo volatile. Excess US supply of oil is a good thing. The real issue is demand. You need to see the share price clear out all the investors who timed their entry poorly. This could mean more downside to come -- don't catch the falling knife. Stay away for now.
integrated oils
TOP PICK
Valero Energy Corp
Refiner, terrific yield. Stock's done well. High FMV. In the States, where there's better energy demand. Also defensive. He's trying to be partially aggressive, partially defensive. Yield is 4.26%. (Analysts’ price target is $103.56)
integrated oils
DON'T BUY
Valero Energy Corp

Well run, good pure play on refining. But you want to own refiners at beginning of cycle, when prices are low or going up, not now. Now you want to be in the integrated space.

integrated oils
BUY
Valero Energy Corp

Coming right down, as have a lot of energy stocks, seasonally weak. But trend is up, though a bit of volatility. Might get a bit more weakness through July. Energy is a really good investment. Could be a bit volatile with economic activity. For VLO, Kelt, and the etfs XEG and XLE, look at your technical lines over the next couple of weeks, you can pick some up and add to them over the summer.

integrated oils
COMMENT
Valero Energy Corp

He is neutral on this and is very cautious on energy and has been for the entire year. At this time there has been a real whip in refiners. He has backed away from the space, because they are really whippy. Unlike some stories, such as biotech, you take the stairs up and the elevator down, so you have to be really careful about your entry point. He would prefer something a little more conservative such as Mkt Vectors Oil Services ETF (OIH-N).

integrated oils
HOLD
Valero Energy Corp

Has not been adding to his holdings, and wouldn’t add to it right now. In his view, this is the best operated independent refiner. It now pays a good dividend of something like 3.6%. However, if you look at the current P/E ratio, it is far higher than its historical single digit PE.

integrated oils
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Valero Energy Corp(VLO-N) Rating

Ranking : 3 out of 5

Bullish - Buy Signals / Votes : 0

Neutral - Hold Signals / Votes : 0

Bearish - Sell Signals / Votes : 3

Total Signals / Votes : 3

Stockchase rating for Valero Energy Corp is calculated according to the stock experts' signals. A high score means experts mostly recommend to buy the stock while a low score means experts mostly recommend to sell the stock.

Valero Energy Corp(VLO-N) Frequently Asked Questions

What is Valero Energy Corp stock symbol?

Valero Energy Corp is a American stock, trading under the symbol VLO-N on the New York Stock Exchange (VLO). It is usually referred to as NYSE:VLO or VLO-N

Is Valero Energy Corp a buy or a sell?

In the last year, 3 stock analysts published opinions about VLO-N. 0 analysts recommended to BUY the stock. 3 analysts recommended to SELL the stock. The latest stock analyst recommendation is . Read the latest stock experts' ratings for Valero Energy Corp.

Is Valero Energy Corp a good investment or a top pick?

Valero Energy Corp was recommended as a Top Pick by on . Read the latest stock experts ratings for Valero Energy Corp.

Why is Valero Energy Corp stock dropping?

Earnings reports or recent company news can cause the stock price to drop. Read stock experts’ recommendations for help on deciding if you should buy, sell or hold the stock.

Is Valero Energy Corp worth watching?

3 stock analysts on Stockchase covered Valero Energy Corp In the last year. It is a trending stock that is worth watching.

What is Valero Energy Corp stock price?

On 2023-12-04, Valero Energy Corp (VLO-N) stock closed at a price of $126.46.