
TSE:ZRE
REITs are little bit on the cheap side compared to world indexes, but he does not think they are good value. The interest rates going into next year are too high. He does not like the market risk overall. He likes the sector for the dividend, but not for the total return. It is attractive if you don’t mind the volatility risk short term.
RioCan (REI.UN-T) or BMO Equal Weight REITs Index (ZRE-T)? They are not too different. This has relatively large weightings in some of the large REITs, and they all tend to move in the same direction when the sector sells off. While he likes RioCan very much, he thinks this one is a little bit better because it is a diversified basket.
REITs are a good play in the summer. Usually you get falling rates during the summer. Investors want to be less correlated and reduce their risks to equities, and often trend towards the bond markets. From March to May is the 1st period of seasonal strength for REITs, and then June through August is the next period. The chart on this one shows the rising trend line pushing up towards resistance, and eventually you would expect a break out, which is a bullish resolution.
When you look at the real estate market, you want to look at where interest rates are moving. In Canada we had a bit of a curve ball with the interest rate drop. REITs are still looking somewhat attractive to yield hungry investors. This particular one gives you a pretty decent yield in the 3%-4% area. Watch for when rates eventually start moving higher.
This is somewhat dependent upon rates. Interest rates and mortgage rates, which have been going up in the past 2-3 months. This one is a real estate investment trust, not as mortgage dependent, but in the past 2-3 months as rates have started to go up in the long end, the value of real estate investment trust products have dropped fairly precipitously. Doesn’t know if it will drop much further but doesn’t think it will do that well going forward. Thinks real estate is in for a rough ride for the next 2-3 years.
If you stick with real estate on the longer-term basis, you’ll probably do just fine. If he were doing real estate, he would just go for one of the bigger names, and in this case that would be RioCan Real Estate Investment (REI.UN-T). This way you can forget about paying the extra fee for an ETF to manage an equal weight model. This gives you a monthly income.