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Westport Innovations (WPT.TO)

HOLD

Owned off and on. Concept stock and a real business. Strong patents and good relationships. You want to hold over a long time.

PAST TOP PICK

(Top Pick Jun 15/12, Up 0.51%) SHORT.

DON'T BUY

Company has been around a long time and has been hyped a lot for building a natural gas engine. These stocks are like sitting by a window waiting for the postman to come and bring a love letter that never comes. Every couple of years the story gets recycled but the long-term picture is still not clear to him. Speculative.

COMMENT

Tends to be very volatile. Still a bit of a “story” stock after all this time and really a play on conversion of fleets to use natural gas as a fuel. That is coming, but is taking a long time. Someday it will be worth what it trades at on the high-end but have someone look at the chart and Buy it when it has really come off and be prepared to Sell. Nice trader if you are into this.

TOP PICK

Short. National bank has had a sell for quite a while. Reported really poor numbers about a week ago. Sees a lot of downside over the next 12-18 months.

DON'T BUY

Recently cut its revenue forecast. Their specialty is developing natural gas engines and are continuing to cooperate with the major engine producers to try and broaden their product skills. In the shorter term, they are facing headwinds because of the economy and the slowdown in developed market spending. Expect they will tread water for the next little while until it is clear the global economy is picking up and spending on natural gas conversions is really picking up. Always feels it is too expensive.

COMMENT

Stock had a nasty correction this year. There is support at $28. If you enter the stock, don’t let it go below the low it had earlier this year.

HOLD

Has all the necessary components for a major macro theme, i.e. the energy and power independence of individual sovereign nations. At some point there will be some focus again on an energy program in the US. Is signing some pretty good contracts.

BUY
Likes the concept. Chart looks OK. Starting to show signs of bottoming. Technically starting to show signs of trying to gain momentum. Has been outperforming the TSE Composite which is a positive.
DON'T BUY
Doing interesting stuff but is ridiculously overvalued. At the end of the day this is going to be some kind of heavy equipment manufacturer but is trading on some kind of and absurd .com kind of valuation.
TOP PICK
Top Short Converts diesel engines to natural gas. Thinks this has peaked. Their main partner, Cummins Engines, is coming out with their own competing technology, which is never a good sign. Stock is more than 80% correlated with the ratio of the diesel price to natural gas price. Wouldn't Cover on to there were actual earnings.
DON'T BUY
Not a fan. Doesn't have a problem with natural gas, but the stock is grossly overvalued and you have a management team that he doesn't like.
DON'T BUY
Chart shows 3 waves, and the last one was a miniature, which is usually the last wave where you see a lot of enthusiasm. Feels that $28 will be the landing place, which could be the short-term worse case scenario. Probably the best case scenario is that it will consolidate in the low $30s before there is a chance to move up.
BUY
(Market Call Minute) Benefits from more fuel-efficient engines.
DON'T BUY
Automobile/truck parts for conversion to natural gas vehicles. Very unproven concept and earnings are not there yet so it trades at a very high multiple. Speculative.
Showing 16 to 30 of 66 entries