TSE:VET

Vermilion Energy Inc (VET.TO)

17.53
-0.19 (1.04%)
as of Sep 18, 2026, 5:44:06 pm Market Open.
585 watching
0
SELL

It is trading where it should. There are headwinds with European gas prices. It has struggled quite a lot but the last quarter was reasonable. You should probably sell it for something with more growth.

TOP PICK

Canadian gas is where it's at. Interesting angle with this name is that they have gas in Europe -- Ireland, Germany -- and the market's not fully reflecting these assets in the price. Well managed, good tradition of being shareholder friendly via dividends, buybacks, and managing debt well. Underappreciated. 

In this market, he doesn't want to chase highs. He's looking for stocks that haven't moved yet because the market is overlooking them. Yield is 4.78%.

(Analysts’ price target is $13.27)
DON'T BUY

It went international, at least partially, but there is lots of opportunity in Canada. Also international valuations are lower. Return on Capital is lower than what he looks at. He would consider Logan instead.

SELL

If you own, sell it and buy names like WCP, which pays a higher dividend.  VET's bases are scattered around the world. VET poorly executes.

PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Mar 15/24, Down 37%)

Lately they've had success in exploration in Germany, but near-term capex to exploit that is questionable. Are hard hit, now trading at half their book value. Are paying a near-6% dividend. He's held on. He may use VET as a source of funds, but otherwise won't sell it.

BUY

Owns shares. Believes company has a lot of potential. European gas prices have been low, but still relatively strong. Largest independent gas producer in all of Europe. Very good shareholder discipline - has paid lots of dividends. Good capital allocation. 

DON'T BUY

Owns shares, and has suffered share price depreciation. Europe pricing very hard on business. Company is going to have to re-evaluate Europe assets. Better options in the energy sector for investors. 

DON'T BUY

Too geographically exposed. Inventory light. Hedge on gas about to expire. Not a good option for investors. 

DON'T BUY

Looking at 2026, they're almost negative free cashflow because they're benefiting from European gas hedges that are about to roll off.

SELL

Sell it. Value trap. Too many assets, not enough geographical concentration. The free cashflow yield that everyone's fallen in love with rolls off significantly in 2 years.

DON'T BUY

Too much noise. A tax-loss candidate. Don't buy. The warm winter meant weak heating demand. Also, their assets are too scattered, lacking focus, while the dividend isn't attractive enough. Some flagship assets will decline. It's a value trap.

DON'T BUY

The biggest knock is that they have 5 operations round the world when they need focus. It remains challenged and deserves to trade at a discount. Look elsewhere for less risk and more reward.

WEAK BUY

Not his favourite in energy. If it break its 200-day moving average it will move even higher though. But if fundamentals continue to do well, so will VET. The stock is well-positioned.

DON'T BUY

Not that familiar with it, but it's had issues in France. All Canadian-based energy will do well. But VET is back on track. Not his top pick in this space.

TOP PICK

Company has turned around - last quarter very strong. Believes energy prices will remain high. Company progressing in de-leveraging. Free cash flow will be returned to shareholders (~50%). Dividends are robust, and company on the way to recovery. Good valuation that offers safety for long term investors.  

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