Visa Inc.VBUY ON WEAKNESSMay 29, 2025Stock price when the opinion was issued
As of May 29, 2026. Market Open.
He's out. Momentum has broken. Price is now below 200-day MA, and that's rolling over. Secular growth drivers are still there, for about 14% earnings growth at 23x PE. But it's more about valuation right now. If you think of it as technology, investors are seeing a lot more exciting names out there.
When technicals improve, he'd look at it again.
They reported a strong quarter with 9% volume growth. People are spending. Even if prices rise, Visa still makes money. Other areas are growing and amount to 30%, such as merchants hiring Visa to do marketing services cybersecurity fraud prevention. Also, there's room to expand to many parts of the world still using cash.
(Analysts’ price target is $403.54)Still one of the cleanest business models in global markets, and one of the most powerful. No credit risk; simply sits at the centre of global commerce and collect fees on each transaction. Still in a shift from cash to digital payments.
Double-digit revenue growth, earnings ahead of expectations, continued resilience in consumer spending. Even in this time of uncertain economic risk, payment volumes remain strong and that highlights its durable business model.
High-quality compounder, scale, pricing power, long runway for growth. Ranks 10/10 on fundamentals. Yield is 0.81%.
Grows revenue at 12% clip, and EPS faster than that. Unlevered balance sheet. Trading at 10-year low on valuation. Despite perceived threats, every right to win in the agentic world.
At worst it will be AI-neutral, at best AI will be incremental to the runway. As movement of $$ increases, Visa tends to get paid. There is real risk from the interbank clearing system, but there's no better place than Visa if you want credentials and high levels of trust. Yield is 0.85%.
Theory is that with agentic AI, we don't need V for payment rails anymore. For the past decade, has grown at 10-11% on revenue and that's expected to continue. Trading at a discount to its history, yet business is as robust as ever. Long-term hold. Yield is 0.90%.
(Analysts’ price target is $403.34)
Every time he's trimmed the stock, it's been a mistake. Great example of the power of network effects. Though penetration is high in developed markets, it still delivers decent sales growth and low double-digit earnings growth. No reason for the story to imminently change. Value-added services (such as security, analytics, loyalty insights) are growing at multiples faster than the core business.