Uranium One Inc. (UUU.TO) Buy, Sell or Hold

Uranium One Inc. (UUU.TO)

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COMMENT

Uranium has been a very hot sector and prices have been moving up. A lot of nuclear power plants are coming on line. Fairly tightly controlled commodity so demand/supply conditions are favourable.

BUY

Technically it looks great. Recently broke above a key resistance level due to the price of uranium. Outperforming the market, which is a very good sign. Recent correction in the market, which will last into Feb, is a classic opportunity to buy stocks like this.

SELL

Recently merged with some Russians in Kazakhstan. Is it safe? Politics will put a risk factor in giving it a lower multiple than comparable uranium companies. Production growth over the next couple of years will beat competitors. Sold his holdings. Still bullish on uranium, but prefers Uranium Participation Corp (U-T), a direct play on the commodity.

BUY

Very few pure uranium producers globally. Russians hold 51%, which gives them almost unlimited access to cash for opportunities.

WATCH

Chart shows a nice base from April to August, followed by a break out and then a drop. Expect there will be a short rally, which you should sell into.

BUY

Well-positioned uranium stock, trading on increased price of uranium.

COMMENT

Uranium Participation (U-T) or Uranium One (UUU-T)? Uranium One is a uranium producer. A Russian company will be acquiring 51%. Leverage will be higher uranium prices and higher production. Uranium Participation just buys uranium and if prices go up, they benefit. She prefers Uranium Participation. Bullish on uranium.

BUY

Likes uranium as a commodity. There have been sharp pickups in spot prices recently and expects this will go higher. (See Top Picks.)

SELL

It will drop when it pays the special dividend. The next day you re-evaluate. $5 is as good as we are expecting in the short term.

BUY

There is no seasonality with Uranium. Just broke out at $3.30. It is a very positive development. A strong chart pattern breakout.

COMMENT

Special dividend to be paid later in the year and stock will probably go down by same amount. If you own, for taxation purposes, you could sell now and buy back after it drops. Uranium is starting to move but the stocks are lagging. This is the exception because they did a deal with the Kazakhs, who now own 50%. Prefers Paladin Resources (PDN-T).

BUY

Uranium in Kazakhstan. Highest growth rate in production globally. Will be completing a merger with the Russian company owning controlling stake. Attractive dividend.

HOLD

Acquiring ARMZ’s interests in 2 Kazakhstan uranium mines.

COMMENT

Has always found it hard to predict uranium because there is a much political baggage that comes with nuclear energy. Metrics are getting better.

PAST TOP PICK

(A Top Pick Oct 5/09. Up 31%.) Asset base is focused in Kazakhstan where there is very strong uranium production growth. Russians have a controlling interest, which he prefers over the Kazakh government. Paying $1 special dividend late this year or early next. NAV is $3-$3.25 so there is still very good short-term upside.

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Uranium One Inc. (UUU.TO)