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NYSE:UN

Unilever NV (UN)

60.51
-0.00 (0.00%)
as of Nov 28, 2020, 3:00:11 am Market Open.
77 watching
0
DON'T BUY
Kraft tried to buy UN, so UN tried to restructure and improve margins, but the CEO didn't do this. Nestle has outperformed them though trades at a higher valuation. UN should exit unsuccessful products and divisions. UN will struggle to meet margin requirements in the next little while. On Tuesday, UN issued a sales warning and sold off.
PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Nov 02/18, Up 14%) Access to emerging market without the risk. Historically, a 10% dividend growth rate over time. They are moving into e-commerce and attracting millennials. They are moving into health products and makeup.
BUY
An income generator. More than 60% of income comes from emerging markets. They are making acquisitions in the millennial segment and they will continue to perform well.
COMMENT

Nestle is better longer term proxy for this space. UN-N has been under-performing against it peers as they have been below guidance and have seen market share losses.

TOP PICK
Global consumer staples. Defensive growth stock. 60% of revenues come from emerging markets. EMs are a stronger market than developed markets. Owns Dove, Axe, Lipton's, Breyer's, Hellmann's. Increase dividend regularly. Yield is 2.97%. (Analysts’ price target is $63.50)
DON'T BUY

Trades at 20x earnings and pays a 3.4% yield. The problem is that Kraft wanted to buy them. Unilever reacted by restructuring, but did so poorly. They are cutting investments to meet their targets, which is not a good move. Another problem is that they won't sell unprofitable parts of their business. Third, they are using their balance sheet to buy businesses instead of re-structuring properly. They're in a lot tougher business now than years ago, given online/social media branding.

HOLD
A bohemoth, running into challenges like everyone else. Not a lot of topline growth. So they need to innovate and find small companies to buy. Across the consumer goods universe, he'd pick UN over the others. Happy to collect the dividend, it's a stable company. Long-term hold.
PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Dec 28/17, Down 3%) Compared to P&G, they have their feet on the ground better because of recent acquisitions. Open to increasing brand scope. 40% of revenues are in EM, and that's where growth will come from.
TOP PICK

Pays a 3.3% yield. They're the leader in emerging markets. Their last quarter beat the street with good growth in EM. Also, they're buying a lot of small, ubiquitous companies that Gen Xers and Millennials patronize. (Analysts’ price target is $61.67)

HOLD

The staple companies are starting to sell off, including this though it bumped up when Warren Buffett tried to buy it. It's 50/50 in developing and emerging markets. Hold for the long run and you will be rewarded with higher dividends and share price. Worth looking at.

DON'T BUY

He is not bullish on consumer stocks. They have been losing pricing power. Unilever has great brands but the ecommerce move is making it difficult for FMCG (fast-moving consumer goods) companies, putting more pricing pressure on them. It has become very easy to build new cosmetic brands and these new boutique brands will add pressure on companies like Unilever.

TOP PICK

This gives him some offset to volatility. Just sold their spreads business and has $6 billion to allocate. If they do it the right way, there could be some good times for this company moving forward. Dividend yield of 2.8%. (Analysts' price target is $60.00.)

WEAK BUY

Consumer staples have always been appealing for low volatility; however this sector is now quite pricey. They are focusing on improving productivity and margins. The prospects are probably relatively good.

HOLD

The consumer staple sector has broadly sold off after the election. It was a very defensive sector that had done quite well. A very good, broadly diversified consumer staple stock. European valuations on consumer staples are a little more compelling than in the US. Yield of about 3.6%.

COMMENT

They have done some restructuring. The issue right now is more in the emerging markets, and how are they impacted by the slowdown in those markets. Over 50% of their sales come from these markets. Feels there are better consumer discretionary stocks that he can be involved in.

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