TC EnergyTRP.TOHOLDJan 26, 2016Stock price when the opinion was issued
As of Sep 25, 2026. Market Open.
Its growth is in the 7 to 8% range. It has a huge backlog of projects and is adding more. Has superior management which has started an AI initiative for optimizing its pipeline. His expectation of natural gas prices is that they will go nowhere in North America. Natural gas is above the 5 year storage levels and a milder winter is expected. It needs more liquification facilities in Western Canada.
Pulled down toward the 200-day MA, so an opportunity to pick up shares. RSI is down around 29, indicating it's oversold. Nice, steady name with pretty low beta (half that of the TSX). For the conservative, dividend part of your portfolio. Yield is 4% and safe, expected to increase over coming years.
Pipeline names serve an important need in a portfolio for those who are income-focused. Sector's been hot, valuations have come up dramatically. If you own, continue to hold. Growth outlook quite strong.
Pipelines will definitely benefit from the need for power for AI. But they can't ship more than is already allocated, so they don't get as much operating leverage as some other companies.
Pipelines are not quite as good as utilities for safety, because they're perceived as being commodity-sensitive (even though they're really not). This name will give you a good dividend and safety. You'll get your dividend, and the safety means you can sleep at night (and that's worth something). You can get diversification via funds and ETFs.
Possible deal with Iran caused similar price action across the whole complex. The whole space was at a high.
Both an oil play and an energy infrastructure play. Project backlog of $8B (with ~90% sanctioned, and another $12B being discussed) looks very visible. Great company. Trades at premium of 20x PE for 5% growth.
Better places for new $$.
Any time you have a utility, you basically have a company that has its hand in your pocket, because it has a required rate of return it has to earn. This is a long, ongoing saga, of trying to get a pipeline through the US as well as getting one into eastern Canada. So far they are being blocked at every turn. The stock has fallen down to what he considers to be pretty darn good support, at about $40-$41, about 1.5X BV. It doesn’t have a ton of upside potential because it needs one of those pipeline projects. Has a nice 4.5% dividend yield while you are waiting.