Opinions Josef Schachter
Tourmaline Oil CorpTOU.TOCOMMENTApr 07, 2017
Josef SchachterStock price when the opinion was issued
As of Jul 17, 2026. Market Open.
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Iran conflict prompted a lot of natural gas drilling in the US, and so the price collapsed. LNG Canada allows exports to higher-priced markets in Asia. New floating gasification plants will also add capacity. More upside. (You could take some of your oil profits and redeploy into gas names, which look really cheap.)
Darren SissonsHer replacement for ARX, which is being bought by SHEL. Lots of upside with potential LNG expansion. Real disruption of supply with the Strait of Hormuz. Other countries are looking to our safe jurisdiction.
Good management team, great assets. Yield is 3.28%.
Rebecca TeltscherIt's the biggest Canadian natural gas driller, but hasn't benefited from the US-Iran war, because North American nat gas prices have held (can't ship it abroad). TOU is managed well. They're building their infrastructure to lower the cost of the gas fields and this coincides with higher nat gas prices. Free cash flows will spike as capex falls and LNG contracts kick in.
(Analysts’ price target is $70.72)
The best-run natural gas play in Canada. The stock is volatile, so you can trade it.
Bruce MurrayPaying you really well to wait. At the time, he bought it for the nat gas market finally turning; all those catalysts are still in place. Still cheaper than it ought to be. Not an "if" story, just a matter of time. Sit and enjoy your dividend; will start to work probably in the not-too-distant future.
Greg NewmanAll energy stocks have come off because we've had (cynically) a "peace scare" in the Middle East. This company's big thing is natural gas, and he likes that. Energy sector will continue to be robust.
Also likes, and owns, CVE and PPL.
Brendan CaldwellThe US-Iran war changed the LNG world, given the Strait of Hormuz closure. This gives Canada a huge opportunity. TOU already supplies US producers.
(Analysts’ price target is $71.84)
Ryan BushellHe likes energy stocks. It's rangebound between $58 to nearly $70. So buy and sell at the bottom and top of this range. He collects the dividend.
Keith RichardsNever discount the important of dividends to your total return! Underwhelming, while a lot of other energy stocks have really taken off. Has "oil" in its name, but it's actually Canada's largest nat gas producer. SHEL acquisition of ARX was a watershed moment in the Canadian oil patch and, in particular, nat gas.
Still grossly undervalued.
Brian MaddenExporting through LNG Canada to capture Asian pricing for nat gas is going to be big.
Darren SissonsLike both, but TOU has been sideways, because they are investing in capex, but turning back to shareholder returns. So, TOU should return to vogue. TVE has been a tear lately but trades at 11x forward PE with good growth. TVE will be a little more volatile.
He bought at the bottom of their range and sold at the top. Many times this has broken out, many times it has failed to sustain that. The blockage of oil in the Middle East effects everyone. He would sell shares soon.
Keith Richards
In 2014, this was a $60 stock. In early 2015, it bottomed before a lot of stocks did in Jan/Feb 2016. The high was just under $40 in Oct/16, and is currently in the $29-$30 range. In the 4th quarter, they were doing 192,000 barrels a day with $4 annualized cash flow. They did a massive acquisition in December from Shell, so production volumes will continue to go up. Operating costs are excellent at $2.90, so they will do over $4 in cash flow this year. BV is $6.8 billion, and their debt is only $1.4 billion, very manageable. Any time you see the stock below BV it has been a gift. If he is right about the downside in the next little while, you are potentially going to see this company trade below BV in late Q2 or late Q4 and that is when you would take a serious look.