Opinions
Matt Kacur
Torc Oil & Gas Ltd
TOG-T
COMMENT
Jan 06, 2017
$8.120
Stock price when the opinion was issued
oil
gas
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TOP PICK
TOP PICK
A huge laggard this year. It is trailing other names at 20-30%. They have not yet reinstated dividends. They should reinstate it early next year. At current levels, the stock trades at 14% free cashflow yield. At $50-$60 oil, it trades at 30%-60% free cashflow yield for dividends and buy-backs. (Analysts’ price target is $2.46)
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PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick May 15/20, Up 189%) Was taken out by Whitecap. Whitecap is now a net-negative emitter. They inject CO2 into the ground. From an ESG perspective, it is a great candidate. They are scaling up to increase market cap. Bigger you are, more radar screens you hit. Whitecap could trade at 6x which is $8.40.
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PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Jun 19/20, Up 82%) Was bought by Whitecap two months ago. Was bought at an attractive valuation. Would continue to own Whitecap.
oil
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PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Aug 06/20, Up 78%) Was purchased by Whitecap. Was offering very meaningful upside. Still likes the management team and would support them in the future.
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ROC is very low, but he thinks it is going to improve because oil/gas prices have been stable. This has had a decent track record of good ROC, so he would expect it to return to normal. If he puts a normal rate of return on it, it shows pretty good upside. He could see the stock going past $10, maybe $11, and even $12.