Talisman Mining Ltd (TLM.TO) Buy, Sell or Hold

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Talisman Mining Ltd (TLM.TO)

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HOLD

Needs oil prices to move up in price. Would consider under $20. Prefers CNQ (CNQ-T) and Nexen (NXY-T).

BUY

Very cheap at about 4.3 X projected cash flow. Rumours that a major US player has acquired a major interest in the company and intends to break it up. Very attractive company based on fundamentals.

BUY

Model price of $26.88, a 30% positive differential.

BUY

Has been trading in a sideways pattern, which is quite bullish. Because it hasn't broken down, he thinks it will break out above the peaks. Make sure you have stop loss at the lows.

WAIT

Great company. Did a good job of getting out of some controversial areas. Would prefer Encana (ECA-T) or Suncor (SU-T). If you want the international diversification, it's a reasonable investment. Oil will be volatile and there will be better opportunities to buy.

COMMENT

Mostly exploration and international. If you are looking for growth for the long-term, this would be one way of playing it.

BUY

Any area between the $19 and $20 area, you probably can't get hurt buying. Be prepared for a bumpy ride on to the breaks out.

TOP PICK

Bullish on energy in the long-term and this one is weighted about 50/50 oil and gas assets. International operations, extremely good management and a superb balance sheet. Even in a soft energy market, this is the company that has the strength to take advantage of opportunities that presents themselves.

PAST TOP PICK

(A Top Pick Aug 25/06. Up 1%.) Pretty good performance for the gas/oil sector. Still likes it. Has been selling off assets and redeploying the cash to buy back stock.

COMMENT

From a technical perspective, this could possibly break out above the $21 range. MACD is just crossing over below the support level. From a trader’s perspective, if he were taking a position, he would define his risk very carefully as to what he would be willing to lose.

BUY

There should be good growth in 07 and more growth in 08 based on discoveries already made.

WEAK BUY

In the event of a bounce in the price of oil, Suncor (SU-T), Talisman (TLM-T) and Nexen (NXY-T) would be 3 companies that would have good leverage.

TOP PICK

The model price is $26.47, a positive 48% differential.

PAST TOP PICK

(A Top Pick Sept 8/06. Down 4.5%.) Have been repurchasing shares and selling off some of their non-core assets. Very good value at this price.

COMMENT

Production is around 650,000 BOE's a day. Trading at 4 X this year's cash flow. Expect that at some time, the far east assets will be sold.

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Talisman Mining Ltd (TLM.TO)