
TSE:TD
Toronto dominion (TD-T) or Telus (T-T) for a TFSA? Neither one of these is a bad bet. Telus is the one that he would want to own. This bank, in the short to intermediate term, will continue to do well. Banks in general will be long-term challenged as to where they get their growth. Their growth in retail banking in the US is positive.
Likes their exposure in the US. Fully recognizes that Canada is going to be tough in 2013, probably getting better in 2014. The real plus will be some of the acquisitions they’ve made, the credit card business and further consolidating their position in the US. Expects US will produce great profits for them.
Bond Resets. 2009-$25 maturing in 2014. Should I sell now with capital gain or hold to maturity at issued price? These are rate reset bonds and are callable at the bank’s option. You should never be buying a bond and giving away the options as they will be exercised at the worst time for you and the best time for the issuer. Believes they are currently trading at $27 and he believes the bank will be calling them so it doesn’t matter whether you sell or the bank calls them.
They have been expanding in the US in a smart fashion. But they are kind of being the market darling, so he wants to find one selling at a discount, rather than a premium. They had good results in wholesale and retail sides. The other banks were selling at more attractive valuations when he bought them.
Buy April 80 Calls at $3.60. The combination of a dividend increase and an increase in the dividend payout rate tells him that the board is not only content with the trend in their earnings but also content with the sustainability of those earnings. He thinks you could see this stock at $87 by April.
One of the cheapest of the big 5 banks. Yield is probably one of the lowest as well as the price to cash flow. Given what they have done with the target receivables recently and given the focus on building up the credit card businesses, he sees this as an opportunity to benefit in 2 ways. First, the cost of capital for these entities will decline and secondly, given the competitive space in mortgages and consumer borrowing, it’s a great way to boost long-term earnings. He sees a 10% upside in the next 12 months plus the 3.76% dividend.
Banks are at the high end of their ranges. He would wait for some kind of pullback of 5-10%. Don’t chase them. $78ish is a good entry point. 52 week lows could be retested due to Cliff issues.