
TSE:SU
At this price, it is definitely a long-term hold but is very dependent on what oil prices do. Has been recently adding to her holdings. Really likes how they handled the integration. They are able to defuse the differentials with some of their refining. Other companies are getting less of a price compared to WTI. Really compelling valuation.
Suncor (SU-T) or Canadian Natural Resources (CNQ-T)? If he were going to own a 2nd oil sands stock, it would be this one. These 2 are the cheapest. If things get tacky in the Middle East the price of oil will go up but markets could go down and he doesn’t see oil bucking the market (See Top Picks.).
Tied into the oil sands in a big way and also has a network of gasoline stations so it is an integrated. Not a huge amount of risk and looks reasonably well priced at these levels. He is not particularly keen on integrateds these days. Would prefer Crescent Point (CPG-T) or Baytex (BTE-T), both of which have higher yields and are shipping heavy oil by rail.
Over the last 12-18 months he has avoided oil sands companies. One of the issues was the very significant differential they were making on their oil versus West Texas. Recently the differential has been narrowing so it is becoming more profitable for them. Technically, this may have put in a double bottom and may be turning higher. Should energy firm up, this is a company he would take a good hard look at.