Stock price when the opinion was issued
The stock has been volatile, as all growth stocks have been recently. We think merchant customers and the company can adapt well enough. However, the consumer spending impact of tariffs remains a variable. Consumer confidence has dropped, and if tariffs induce inflation then business may certainly be negatively impacted overall. Silver linings might be valuation (better of course with the decline) and sentiment (market sentiment is so bad currently any good news could amplify moves). It remains a high Beta stock. Down 11% YTD, it has actually held up better than many others.
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Growth company that hasn't been smashed, despite coming down from highs. Flirting with getting into the NASDAQ 100; if it goes down there, will be a lot more buying. Last quarter earnings were good, subscription revenue up, and executing well. But it's pricey.
Must-own name, but you have to buy it at the right level. Very whippy, use the technicals to buy.
Valuation is 61x forward PE with 25% growth, giving a PEG ratio of well over 2x. 200-week MA is trending lower, which is not a fantastic technical sign. Have to watch out for rivals such as AMZN and ETSY. Depends more on small-and mid-sized businesses, which can be affected more by any economic downturn.
Great run. If you believe that e-commerce retail has a lot of legs (which he does), there are other ways to express that view. SHOP is stuck in the middle. Doubled off bottom, but faces structural issues of having to go up-market to enterprise customers, and AMZN is already there.
Moving up from micro-merchant is easier said than done. Being the UI layer and the feature layer is the most vulnerable part of the value chain that is global e-commerce. Tactically, he'd own AMZN.