Shoppers Drug Mart CorpSC.TODON'T BUYJan 31, 2013Stock price when the opinion was issued
Not trading close to deal price because there is risk that the deal may not close and there is a time value until the deal closes. Also L-T’s share price has come off since the deal was announced. He is in Canada Bread in this space. They will probably spin some of Shoppers real estate into the Choice REIT.
Has regulatory concerns. Only a matter of time before the price cuts they had will spill over into other parts. Doesn’t feel this is properly valued by analysts. Prefers looking at this on a “price to free cash flow” basis. Doing this, it is considerably more expensive than a lot of consumer staples stock, especially some multinationals. Have to consistently reinvest in their stores, making sure they look fresh so they can drive traffic. Target (TGT-N), which is well capitalized, will be coming into the market as competition.