Stockchase Opinions

Lorne SteinbergSAP AG ADRSAPDON'T BUYApr 07, 2025

The heart of the business for many companies. With so many things on sale these days, he'd look elsewhere.

$245.84

Stock price when the opinion was issued

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PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Jan 29/25, Down 27%)

No longer holds, started to scale back in August/September of 2025. Concerns of computational power moving into reasoning. Company is probably working feverishly on that, but it's in the penalty box.

TOP PICK
CFO stated yesterday that excess cash would not be hoarded on the balance sheet but, rather, dedicated to shareholder returns or M&A.

Great chart. Decent runway in front of it. King of enterprise application software in Europe, and widely held over there. Big into supply chains. Reported yesterday and blew it out of the park. Up 13% YTD. Buy in thirds here around $277, low $260s, and low $250s. Yield is 0.9%.

(Analysts’ price target is $306.18)
BUY

They benefit from any technology change as they consult clients. So, gen-AI will be a strong tailwind. Has owned this in the past. Is confident in the CEO. Is definitely on his radar.

PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Sep 07/22, Up 61%)

A year ago, few wanted a European software company, but that's why it's popped so much. Still owns it, though took some profits. You can buy it now, buy more at $130 then more in the $120s.

TOP PICK
Global. Diversified cloud portfolio will let it be resilient during any sort of downturn. Long history has proven this capability. Very solid company. Yield is 2.45%. (Analysts’ price target is $119.10)
DON'T BUY
Tracks company performance but hasn't bought shares. Is a legacy software provider. Microsoft creating better products. Looks cheap, but would not recommend buying. Prefers Salesforce, Adobe or Servicenow.
BUY
The USD has had a fantastic run, so why not buy these European companies that have so much of their sales in the U.S. You get them at a discount now, so they'll have the wind at their banks for the Euro and Swiss franc turn around against the dollar. He predicts a 5% lift in forex in the next 6-8 months. These companies have great balance sheets and cash in sectors that are global.
BUY
Selling Rogers allowed him to enter stocks like Germany's SAP, which produces enterprise resource planning software. It ties a corporation's financials, human resources and operations together. SAP is moving away from a package to a cloud-based software as a service. Lots of growth here.
WEAK BUY
You are paying up for growth in the software area. There are lots of headwinds. They will have to make acquisitions to continue to grow. He prefers others that grow faster. He would prefer MSFT-Q.
BUY
He doesn't follow this company, though it's high-quality. It's a safe-haven, tech-quality play. They trade at a decent valuation with a strong brand name with a blue-chip customer list.
COMMENT

Very large European software company. They do enterprise software, putting in big systems for very large corporations. A very solid company. Very good company, but wouldn’t be his top pick.

HOLD

A "Steady Eddie". It is not really cheap. If you own it, look for an opportunity to take profits if you get nervous about the market cycle.

BUY

Enterprise software, and one of the very early movers into software as a service. They also were very early in the move into Cloud-based computing. Stock has been rallying recently even though the euro has been weak. This would be a good, long term hold. 2.5% dividend yield.

HOLD
A tech stock that happens to be headquartered in Europe but they are multinational. The majority of their earnings are from outside the euro zone. Excellently run company.